Black Cats Overpriced for Back-to-Back Wins

Sunderland beat relegation rivals Crystal Palace 4-0 last weekend.

Sunderland is coming off its best English Premier League win this season and the Black Cats are overpriced to string together victories for just the second time under David Moyes when they host Southampton.

Southampton has lost three games on the bounce across all competitions since it qualified for the English EFL Cup final and the Saints are likely to line up without their star defender, Virgil van Dijk, who has been their best player in their up and down campaign. Southampton has not done sufficiently well on the road in the English Premier League – the Saints are 2-3-7 from their 12 away games – to be close to even money to win at Sunderland this weekend.

Back-to-back wins is something Sunderland have only achieved once since Moyes accepted the challenge of succeeding Sam Allardyce as Black Cats boss, and the Stadium of Light team is odds on to drop out of the English Premier League after several narrow escapes. But Sunderland should not be available at odds of +300  with BetVictor to get the better of Southampton in Saturday’s English Premier League match on Wearside.

According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Southampton holds an 11-1-7 lead over Sunderland. Not only does that not entitle Southampton to such clear favouritism for an English Premier League match in enemy territory but also it is worth noting that the reverse fixture resulted in a 1-1 draw and the Saints trailed Sunderland before Jay Rodriquez’s 85th-minute equaliser.

One was expecting bookmakers to struggle to split Sunderland and Southampton at the Stadium of Light so the Black Cats, desperate for three English Premier League home points to boost their survival chance, represents excellent value.

Opposing English Premier League champion Leicester this term has been a profitable strategy, particularly on the road – the Foxes are 0-3-9 away from their King Power Stadium.

One cannot say that Swansea is grossly overpriced at odds of +150  with William Hill to post a home win over Leicester – according to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, the Swans trail 6-3-10 – but the urge to bet against the fading Foxes is too great to resist.

Manchester City holds the dubious distinction of being the only English title winner to be relegated the season after its championship success and that debacle occurred in the late 1930s. One nominated Leicester to finish the English Premier League competition on the bottom half of the ladder but even one is surprised at how far the Foxes have fallen. N’Golo Kante’s switch to Chelsea ripped the heart out of Leicester’s team and no-one in the Foxes ranks has stepped up to replace the tackles that he made in key zones.

Finally, Manchester City thrashed Bournemouth 4-0 in the English Premier League earlier this term and one fancies that the Citizens will crush the Cherries again on Monday.

According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Manchester City enjoys a 13-1-5 advantage over Bournemouth and that includes the one-sided encounter between the Citizens and the Cherries in September.

Ladbrokes is offering odds of -208  about Manchester City maintaining its English Premier League title challenge with a road triumph over a Bournemouth side that has hit the skids. Bournemouth has not won any of its last six games across all competitions, conceding two goals in two of those matches and three goals in the other four fixtures. One does not fancy Bournemouth’s chance of shutting out Manchester City’s new-look attack that Gabriel Jesus is leading.

Tips Summary

Sunderland to beat Southampton
Saturday 11th February, 15:00 GMT
Odds:  +300

Swansea to beat Leicester
Sunday 12th February, 16:00 GMT
Odds:  +150

Manchester City to beat Bournemouth
Monday 13th February, 20:00 GMT
Odds:  -208

manchester city
Premier League
Sunderland
Swansea

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