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One is not getting carried away with Sunderland’s three wins from its last four English Premier League because the Black Cats have merely capitalised on a soft run of matches but they are overpriced to triumph at Swansea on Saturday.
Sunderland has climbed off the foot of the English Premier League ladder through its collection of nine points from its recent games against Bournemouth, Hull and the struggling champion, Leicester. One tipped Sunderland as the value in English Premier League relegation betting before the season kicked off and one remains hugely sceptical about the value of Black Cats boss David Moyes. But Sunderland has a proven striker in Jermain Defoe and the former England star ought to be licking his lips at the prospect of facing Swansea.
Swansea chairman Huw Jenkins had a reputation for making smart recruitment decisions but his recent calls have not worked out and one thinks that Bob Bradley’s tenure is likely to end in tears. Swansea has won one match since Bradley breezed into the Liberty Stadium and it only beat Crystal Palace because the Eagles conceded not one but two stoppage-time goals. Swansea was abysmal in losing 0-5 at Tottenham last time out and it has slid to the bottom of the English Premier League ladder following 14 rounds of action.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Swansea and Sunderland have had 10 common foes, with the Swans trailing the Black Cats 3-2-5. Swansea’s defence is the worst in the English Premier League, its confidence is shattered and Sunderland boasts one of the division’s most reliable marksman. At odds of 27/10 3.70 +270 2.70 2.70 -0.37 with 888Sport and Unibet, Sunderland is a value wager.
Like Swansea, Everton is a false favourite for an English Premier League game this weekend – it is remarkable that bookmakers are listing the Toffees ahead of Watford.
Everton is just two points ahead of Watford after 14 rounds of English Premier League matches and, as one is fond of saying, sometimes the ladder does not tell the truth until the end of the competition. Everton and Watford have run into 10 of the same English Premier League teams and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Toffees trail the Hornets 3-2-5. Those English Premier League numbers suggest that Everton is inferior to Watford and, therefore, the Hornets represent excellent value at odds of 11/5 3.20 +220 2.20 2.20 -0.45 with Betfair. Watford is not the most reliable of English Premier League conveyances but the Hornets have every right to be odds of around 6/5 2.20 +120 1.20 1.20 -0.83 .
Finally, fast-starting Liverpool will welcome West Ham to Anfield on Sunday and the Reds are ripe for a double-result bet based on them leading at half time and full time.
Liverpool has pulled off the half-time/full-time double result six times in its 14 English Premier League games, including four times out of six at Anfield. West Ham coach Slaven Bilic’s bubble has burst, the Irons are struggling having left their Boleyn Ground fortress and their form versus the division’s top sides is awful. West Ham is 0-2-6 in its eight English Premier League matches against teams in the top nine and its defence is among the division’s worst.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Liverpool enjoys a 8-0-2 advantage over West Ham so the ladder does not lie – the Reds are several notches better than the Irons and one can see Jurgen Klopp’s players tearing their opponents to shreds. Coral are offering odds of 17/20 1.85 -118 0.85 -1.18 0.85 about one’s exotic selection.
Sunderland to beat Swansea
Saturday 10th December, 15:00 GMT
Odds: 27/10 3.70 +270 2.70 2.70 -0.37
Watford to beat Everton
Saturday 10th December, 12:30 GMT
Odds: 11/5 3.20 +220 2.20 2.20 -0.45
Liverpool HT/FT Double Result
Sunday 11th December, 16:30 GMT
Odds: 17/20 1.85 -118 0.85 -1.18 0.85
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