West Ham was seconds away from becoming only the third English Premier League team to inflict a defeat upon title favourite Leicester and one thinks that the Hammers will bounce back quickly with a home victory over Watford.
Watford boss Quique Sanchez Flores is planning on ringing the changes ahead of his side’s English FA Cup semi-final versus Crystal Palace, a match that presents the Hornets with an outstanding opportunity to qualify for the final. Watford’s strength in depth is what you would expect of a recently promoted team and, therefore, West Ham may find itself lining up against a decidedly second-string side.
It is not as though there is a strong case for punting on anything other than a West Ham win anyway. According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Watford trails West Ham 7-2-10 and, although the Hornets beat the Hammers 2-0 in October’s reverse fixture, one’s number crunching has unearthed some alarming statistics. West Ham enjoys English Premier League collateral form advantages over Watford of 4-1-0, 8-2-2 and 10-2-3, depending upon how far one works down the ladder.
What those English Premier League collateral form numbers indicate is that West Ham has outperformed Watford versus the division’s top teams and, if you are looking for any more data nuggets, try this one for size: the Hornets are 0-0-10 against the sides ranked first to fifth inclusive.
UEFA Europa League qualification remains a possibility for West Ham, whereas Watford is safe from relegation back to the English Championship. Flores is kidding himself if he thinks that 41 points will be insufficient to stay up.
BetVictor is offering odds of -154 about West Ham making the most of the opportunity that facing Watford shortly before the latter’s English FA Cup semi-final appearance presents. That strikes one as relatively good odds about West Ham winning Wednesday’s game at the Boleyn Ground.
Like Watford, Everton’s minds may be elsewhere when it runs out in the English Premier League on Wednesday even though the Toffees are facing Liverpool in their big derby match.
Everton boss Roberto Martinez is under increasing pressure and he may need a piece of silverware to save him from the sack in the summer. Everton has a real chance of taking out the English FA Cup – Manchester United and either Crystal Palace or Watford stands in its way – whereas its English Premier League fate is known. Liverpool has more motivation than Everton for their English Premier League clash and the Reds are a fair price at odds of -122 with Marathonbet.
According to one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis, Liverpool holds a 10-3-6 edge over Everton and that includes the Reds drawing 1-1 at Goodison Park in October. Also, Liverpool boasts English Premier League collateral form leads over Everton of 4-1-0 and 6-1-2, depending upon how far one works down the ladder.
Newcastle and Manchester City need the English Premier League points for different reasons and one’s midweek portfolio includes the Citizens at odds of -161 with Bet365 to deepen the crisis at St James’ Park.
Manchester City enjoys a 12-2-5 English Premier League collateral form advantage over Newcastle and the Citizens have been ruthless in despatching the division’s lesser lights – they are 17-3-0 versus teams below ninth on the ladder. Newcastle is 19th and three points from safety.
Newcastle has winnable English Premier League games at home to Crystal Palace and away to Aston Villa remaining but its other matches are against Manchester City and Tottenham at St James’ Park. One thinks that Newcastle has to go for broke versus Manchester City and that the Citizens are likely to prosper from the spaces that the Magpies leave.
Finally, here are one’s English Premier League collateral form analysis results for every one of this week’s five games – the asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
Newcastle 5-2-12* versus Manchester City
West Ham 10-2-7* versus Watford
Liverpool 10-3-6 versus Everton
Manchester United 11*-3-5 versus Crystal Palace
Arsenal 13-1-5* versus West Bromwich
West Ham to beat Watford
Wednesday 20th April, 19:45 GMT
Liverpool to beat Everton
Wednesday 20th April, 20:00 GMT
Manchester City to beat Newcastle
Tuesday 19th April, 19:45 GMT