Betis and Malaga to Continue Bucking La Liga Trend

Real Betis won 1-0 at Malaga in November.

Real Betis won 1-0 at Malaga in November.

The Spanish Primera Division is a high-scoring league but Saturday’s match between Betis and Malaga may fail to hit any great heights and go under two and a half goals.

Betis have played 29 Spanish Primera Division games and 17 of them have gone under two and a half goals, including nine of its 14 home matches. Betis won 1-0 at Malaga when Spanish Primera Division Round 11 took place in November, the Green and Whites scoring with their one and only effort on target.

Malaga’s 29 Spanish Primera Division games have had a mean of just 1.93 goals – the lowest in the competition. Nineteen of Malaga’s 29 Spanish Primera Division matches have gone under two and a half goals, including 10 of its 15 away games. Just one Malaga match in the Spanish Primera Division has gone over four and a half goals and the same statistic applies to Betis as well so the probability of this weekend’s encounter getting out of control is low.

It was difficult finding a headline-worthy selection in the 30th round of Spanish Primera Division games but Marathonbet posting odds of -125  about Saturday’s match between Betis and Malaga going under two and a half goals got one’s nod.

One’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis puts up numbers that makes it hard to overlook Atletico Madrid, even at odds of -227  with Coral to beat Gijon on Saturday.

Atletico Madrid enjoys a 18-0-1 Spanish Primera Division collateral form lead over Gijon, including 1-0 victory in November’s reverse fixture. Malaga is the only Spanish Primera Division side against which Gijon has outperformed Atletico Madrid – the Anchovies have defeated both Sporting and the Mattressers 1-0 at home but they had lost 0-1 when they visited the cellar dwellers earlier in the season.

Spanish Primera Division collateral form figures of 18-0-1 are almost impossible to ignore and, while Atletico Madrid has to back up from UEFA Champions League action, it does have four days to recover from its home game against PSV.

One is going to take a punt on Deportivo even though it has not won a match in any tournament this year. Again, one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis is the reason behind one’s selection, with Deportivo boasting a significant advantage over its Saturday guest, Levante.

Deportivo holds a 14-1-4 Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over Levante, including a 1-1 draw in November’s reverse fixture – Super Depor led at half time before they allowed the Frogs back into the contest. Marathonbet is offering odds of -114  about Deportivo ending its barren run and that price is just about high enough for one to play.

Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis results for every one of Round 30’s 10 games. The asterisk signifies the direct head-to-head winner. For more commentary regarding Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division match between Sociedad and Las Palmas, check out one’s weekly article highlighting a live outsider.

Getafe 5-5-9* versus Eibar
Gijon 1-0-18* versus Atletico Madrid
Granada 9*-3-7 versus Vallecano
Sociedad 9-2-8* versus Las Palmas
Deportivo 14*-1-4 versus Levante
Betis 6*-2-11 versus Malaga
Espanyol 4-3-12* versus Athletic
Villarreal 2-2-15* versus Barcelona
Valencia 6*-4-9 versus Celta
Real Madrid 12-3-4* versus Sevilla

Tips Summary

Real Betis v Malaga Under 2.5 Goals
Saturday 19th March, 21:05 GMT
Odds:  -125

Atletico Madrid to beat Gijon
Saturday 19th March, 15:00 GMT
Odds:  -227

Deportivo to beat Levante
Saturday 19th March, 19:30 GMT
Odds:  -114