Value is very thin on the ground in the 15th round of Spanish Primera Division matches but one can make a good case for 11th-placed Betis getting three points out of its home game versus lower ranked Vallecano on Sunday.
According to Spanish Primera Division expected points, Betis should be eighth on the ladder, albeit with pretty much the same tally that it has gained from five wins, four draws and five losses. But is another statistical measure that really supports backing Betis, which is through to the UEFA Europa League knockout stage with one group round remaining, to get the better of Vallecano. Betis and Vallecano have lined up against 11 of the same Spanish Primera Division opponents and, according to one’s collateral form analysis, the Green and Whites have outperformed Rayo versus six of those teams and been their equals against the other five sides. Maybe it is not the most lopsided Spanish Primera Division collateral form line you will see but the fact Vallecano has not fared better than Betis in any of the relevant matches is telling.
Betis has a relatively clean bill of health for Sunday’s Spanish Primera Division game, with Andres Guardado dropping out after sustaining a hamstring injury but Sergio Canales returning from suspension. Luis Advincula is back from his ban for Vallecano but Rayo have three players doubtful.
TOP TIP! – Betis to beat Vallecano @ 57/1001.57-1750.57-1.750.57 with Betway
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TOP TIP! – Celta +1 goal versus Villarreal @ 26/252.04+1041.041.04-0.96
One’s second Spanish Primera Division selection is Celta plus one goal – you can back the Sky Blues not to lose if that market is available – at Villarreal on Saturday at 26/252.04+1041.041.04-0.96 with Bet365.
Celta is four rungs above Villarreal on the Spanish Primera Division ladder and deservedly so when one reviews how the two teams have performed versus identical opponents. Celta enjoys a 7-1-2 Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over Villarreal and the latter has three players out of action this weekend compared to the former’s zero.
Villarreal has won each of its last four matches against Celta across all competitions and the Sky Blues have failed to win 13 of their last 14 Spanish Primera Division away games but, in light of this term’s collateral form data, there is value in backing the visitors to avoid defeat.
Real Madrid v Huesca – 9th December – 15:15 BST
TOP TIP! – Real Madrid to beat Huesca @ 7/201.35-2860.35-2.860.35
For one’s third and final Spanish Primera Division pick it was a toss-of-a-coin job between Barcelona and Real Madrid, with the coin coming down on the Meringues because, unlike Barca, they are not engaged in a derby match this weekend @ 7/201.35-2860.35-2.860.35 with 188Bet.
While Real Madrid still has too many flaws to seriously challenge Barcelona and others for the Spanish Primera Division title, the Meringues ought to simply overpower bottom-of-the-ladder Huesca, which is in serious danger of being cut adrift before the winter break. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Real Madrid holds a 7-2-3 advantage over Huesca and, whereas the Meringues appear to have turned the corner until their new boss, the promoted team has not improved since Francisco Rodriquez arrived to succeed sacked coach Leo Franco.
COLLATERAL FORM FIGURES
Atletico Madrid 5-3-2
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Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, ‘Wrighty’ pinpoints the value bets in the top leagues across Europe. A big signing for the SBO.net sports team, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.
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