Believe in Hoffe More Than the Bookmakers Do

Hoffenheim beat Ingoldstadt 5-2 in their last home outing.

Bookmakers refuse to show sufficient respect to Hoffenheim so stick it to them by backing Hoffe to beat Leverkusen in one of Saturday’s half a dozen German Bundesliga games.

One would think that Hoffenheim’s fourth place on the German Bundesliga ladder and only two divisional defeats would have earned it more appreciation from the bookmaking fraternity but clearly they think that Hoffe’s bubble will burst.

One does not think that Leverkusen is the German Bundesliga team that is likely to inflict Hoffenheim’s first home loss this season. Leverkusen will be backing up from visiting Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League last 16 on Wednesday and the Company 11 are 0-1-4 in their five German Bundesliga away matches against higher ranked opponents in what has been an awful campaign for the Bayer-backed side.

Hoffenheim is 7-5-0 in its 12 German Bundesliga home games and, with 14 rounds of the competition to go, securing one of Germany’s four UEFA Champions League spots is not out of the question. Hoffenheim enjoyed a slice of good fortune in its reverse German Bundesliga fixture versus Leverkusen in that the Company 11 had Kevin Volland sent off in the sixth minute but Hoffe capitalised on their one-man advantage to run out 3-0 winners. Moreover, according to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Hoffenheim enjoys a 12-1-5 advantage over Leverkusen so one is convinced that the ladder is telling the truth about the two teams.

Paddy Power is quoting odds of +125  about Hoffenheim over Leverkusen when Hoffe has every right to be odds on.

There is a strong argument for backing both sides to score at odds of -149  with 188Bet when Bremen hosts Leipzig in another of the German Bundesliga’s Saturday showdowns.

Both teams have found the back of the net in 19 of Bremen’s 24 German Bundesliga matches and no other side comes close to equalling that record. Leipzig’s both-teams-to-score data in the German Bundesliga is nothing out of the ordinary – 13 out of 24 games overall, including six out of 12 matches on the road – but it is Bremen’s presence that gets one’s pulse racing. Bremen has scored in all bar two of its 24 German Bundesliga games, which is a remarkable feat for a side level on points with the team in the relegation play-off position. Bremen lost its reverse German Bundesliga fixture against Leipzig 1-3 so head-to-head supports one’s pick.

Finally, German Bundesliga champion-elect Bayern Munchen should be far too good for Monchengladbach on Sunday.

According to one’s German Bundesliga collateral form analysis, Bayern Munchen boasts a mighty 15-1-1 edge over Monchengladbach, the Reds outperforming the Foals versus every side except Hoffenheim and Leverkusen.

Bayern Munchen cruised to a 2-0 German Bundesliga home win over Monchengladbach when the teams met in October, the Reds racing to a 2-0 lead inside 31 minutes before taking their foot off the pedal. Monchengladbach defeated Bayern 3-1 in last term’s corresponding German Bundesliga fixture but the Foals have been one of the disappointments of the season and they are performing like a mid-table side. Bayern eats teams midway on the German Bundesliga ladder for breakfast and the Reds demonstrated in their recent 10-2 UEFA Champions League aggregate success over Arsenal that they are in great form.

Marathonbet is offering odds of -222  about Bayern Munchen registering its sixth successive victory across all events and improving its German Bundesliga statistics to 19-5-1. Monchenglbach has not won any of its eight German Bundesliga matches against sides in the top seven, going a miserable 0-3-5 in its divisonal games versus Bayern, Leipzig, Dortmund, Hoffenheim, Hertha, Frankfurt and Koln.

Tips Summary

Hoffenheim to beat Leverkusen
Saturday 18th March, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +125

Bremen v Leipzig – Both teams to score
Saturday 18th March, 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -149

Bayern Munich to beat Monchengladbach
Sunday 19th March, 16:30 GMT
Odds:  -222

Bayern Munich
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen

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