Bayern to Hammer Hamburg at Home…Again

Bayern Munchen has handed out several hammerings to Hamburg in recent years and it is hard to make a case for anything other than a big home win in the German Bundesliga season opener between the teams at the Allianz Arena on Friday.

Mario Gotze, Thomas Muller and Arjen Robben each scored two goals in the last German Bundesliga encounter between Bayern Munchen and Hamburg, a match that the perennial champion won 8-0. According to German football magazine Kicker, Bayern Munchen had 13 goal-scoring chances to Hamburg’s one, with nine of the Red Shorts starters earning the lowest possible mark for their individual performance – believe it or not, Hamburg goalkeeper Jaroslav Dronby was not one of them.

Bayern Munchen won last season’s German Bundesliga by 10 points and that was despite taking its foot of the gas in the second half of the competition when its priorities lay elsewhere. Bayern Munchen’s squad for this term is stronger than last season’s version, with Pep Guardiola attracting, among others, Douglas and Arturo Vidal to the Allianz Arena and waving goodbye to Pepe Reina and Bastian Schweinsteiger.

Hamburg escaped relegation from the German Bundesliga by the skin of its teeth for the second term in a row and it looks set for another fight to maintain its proud record of being the only side not to miss a top-flight season since German football was restructured in 1963. Hamburg’s first major match this term resulted in a 2-3 extra-time German DFB Pokal loss at fourth-tier Carl Zeiss Jena, a result that suggests that the Red Shorts are going to struggle to get out of their own half against mighty Bayern Munchen.

Bwin is offering odds of -118 that Bayern Munchen kicks off its German Bundesliga title defence with a home victory over Hamburg by more than two goals. Bayern Munchen won seven of its 17 German Bundesliga home games last season by more than two goals – it posted big wins over seven of the bottom 11 teams, highlighting that it showed no mercy when it hosted the division’s lightweights. Competition for places in the Bayern Munchen starting side is fierce and, therefore, one expects Friday’s first 11 to do everything within their power to rip apart Hamburg’s defence and impress Guardiola.

One thinks that Leverkusen is primed for another German Bundesliga top-four finish and that it represents decent value at odds of -189 with BetVictor and Coral to get the better of Hoffenheim at the BayArena on Saturday.

Only Wolfsburg lost fewer German Bundesliga home matches than Leverkusen last term and the Factory Team – it is not the world’s greatest nickname – welcome a Hoffenheim side that struggled on its travels last season and bowed out of the German DFB Pokal 0-2 at second-tier 1860 Munchen – 1860 had failed to score in each of its first two league games, losing 0-1 at Heidenheim and 0-1 at home to Freiburg.

Leverkusen beat Hoffenheim 2-0 at home and 1-0 on the road in last term’s German Bundesliga and, whereas the Factory Team do not appear to have gone backwards in the break, its weekend opponent has seen Roberto Firmino join Liverpool.

Finally, one saw Ingolstadt play several times en route to winning the German 2. Bundesliga title last term and one was not impressed. Ingolstadt’s first German Bundesliga match is at Mainz on Saturday and one thinks that the O-Fives are worth a bet at odds of +110 with BetVictor.

Ingolstadt crashed out of the German DFB Pokal 1-2 at former German Bundesliga team Unterhaching, which is now operating in the fourth tier. Mainz made it through to the next round of the German DFB Pokal by winning 3-0 at third-tier Cottbus and it is a proven commodity at Germany’s highest level.

The Inglostadt roster is very similar to the one that won the German 2. Bundesliga championship and, consequently, one cannot understand why Mainz is trading at odds against to register a home victory over the newly promoted side.

Tips Summary

Bayern -2 to beat Hamburg
14th August 19:30 GMT
Odds:  -118
Where to Bet: Bwin

Leverkusen to beat Hoffenheim
15th August 14:30 GMT
Odds:  -189
Where to Bet: BetVictorCoral

Mainz to beat Ingolstadt
15th August 14:30 GMT
Odds:  +110
Where to Bet: BetVictor

Allianz Arena
Arjen Robben
Bayern Munchen
German Bundesliga
Jaroslav Dronby
Mario Gotze
Thomas Muller

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