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Bayern to fire four or more goals past Frankfurt
Eric Roberts 2015-04-08 in Football Tips
Bayern Munchen will be desperate to put on a show for its fans when it hosts Frankfurt on Saturday and that one has looking for the ways to back the German Bundesliga title holder to rack up a cricket score at the Allianz Arena.
It has a 10-point lead at the top of the German Bundesliga ladder but Bayern Munchen will have been hugely disappointed at its 0-2 loss to Monchengladbach on its last Allianz Arena appearance and it will be out to rectify matters when the division’s highest-scoring team entertains a Frankfurt side that is a real mess defensively, particularly on the road.
No German Bundesliga team has conceded more goals than the 54 that Frankfurt has given up in its 27 games and Eintracht has not kept a clean sheet in any of its 13 away matches. Oh boy, that spells trouble for a visit to Bayern Munchen given its numbers of 71 goals scored in its 27 German Bundesliga games, including 40 in its 13 home matches. Bayern Munchen beat Frankfurt 4-0 in November’s reverse German Bundesliga fixture, Thomas Muller helping himself to a hat-trick in a hopelessly one-sided game. One is expecting another Bayern Munchen masterclass when Frankfurt rocks up on Saturday.
Frankfurt’s last three German Bundesliga away matches have resulted in three two-goal losses – 1-3 at Mainz, 2-4 at Koln and, most disturbingly, 1-3 at bottom-of-the-ladder Stuttgart. Bayern Munchen has scored more than three goals in 10 of its 27 German Bundesliga games, including six of its 13 home matches. Therefore, the bet that is the best on the German Bundesliga coupon is Bayern Munchen to go over three and a half goals at odds of 2/13.00+2002.002.00-0.50 with Coral.
Seventeen of Paderborn’s 27 German Bundesliga matches have gone over two and a half goals, which means that only games featuring Frankfurt and Wolfsburg have exceeded that line with greater regularity. But one thinks that the value lies in betting on under two and a half goals when Paderborn hosts Augsburg in German Bundesliga action on Saturday.
Paderborn has totally lost its way in the German Bundesliga and it is heading back to the second tier unless it can find its mojo quickly. Paderborn has failed to score in 10 of its last 11 German Bundesliga matches and the exception was its 2-1 away win over another out-of-form side, Hannover.
Augsburg is an under-two-and-a-half-goals team, with 15 of its 27 German Bundesliga games staying under that line, including a league-high 10 of its 13 away matches. It helps that Augsburg has scored just eight German Bundesliga goals on the road, a lower tally than every side except Hamburg.
WilliamHill is offering odds of 91/1001.91-1100.91-1.100.91 that the German Bundesliga game between Paderborn and Augsburg goes under two and a half goals, while odds of 11/102.10+1101.101.10-0.91 with Bet365 and PaddyPower about one of the teams failing to score represents an equally inviting punting proposition. However, if one had to choose between the bets, one would opt for under two and a half goals at a shade of odds on.
Finally, Monchengladbach is overpriced to get something out of its German Bundesliga home match against Dortmund on Saturday, a game for which BVB are false favourites.
One’s argument for backing Monchengladbach at odds of 11/201.55-1820.55-1.820.55 with several bookmakers, including BetVictor and Boylesports, not to lose to Dortmund is straightforward. Monchengladbach’s German Bundesliga home record is nine wins, three draws and one loss, while Dortmund’s away numbers in the league are four wins, three draws and seven losses. Dortmund has not beaten a German Bundesliga side ranked in the top five and Monchengladbach’s only home defeat in the league was a crazy 1-3 loss to Frankfurt.
Monchengladbach versus Dortmund is a German Bundesliga derby but one cannot resist getting involved because the odds are wrong – the Foals should be about 7/201.35-2860.35-2.860.35 not to taste defeat.
Bayern to score +3.5 goals
11th April 14:30 GMT
Where to Bet: Coral
Paderborn v Augsburg Under 2.5 goals
11th April 14:30 GMT
Where to Bet: Coral
Monchengladbach to win/draw v Dortmund
11th April 14:30
Where to Bet: BetVictor, Boylesports
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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