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Bats Flying Lower Than Their Displays Deserve

October 18, 2018

Valencia vs Leganes

Valencia v Leganes – Saturday 20th October – 15:15 BST

Both Valencia and Leganes deserve to be several rungs higher up the Spanish Primera Division ladder than they are but it is the Bats on whom the standings are the toughest and they boast a terrific head-to-head record against the Cucumber Growers as well, so they rate as the bet of the round.

Valencia is 14th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder as the competition resumes following the international break for UEFA Nations League games but the Bats should be in Spain’s top six. According to Spanish Primera Division expected points, Valencia’s tally of nine is almost four below what it deserves to be and the Bats should have the fifth best goal difference in the tournament. Valencia is 1-6-1 in the Spanish Primera Division but one would argue 3-3-2, including a last-start win over Barcelona, would be a fairer reflection of how the Bats have played this term.

Leganes stunned Barcelona last month but, despite that huge positive shock result, the Cucumber Growers are 18th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder and, therefore, stuck in the relegation zone. According to Spanish Primera Division expected points, Leganes ought to have a couple more than its tally of seven but even the statistically compiled ladder ranks the Cucumber Growers in the bottom half.

Valencia and Leganes have faced each other six times in their respective histories – four times in the Spanish Primera Division and two times in the Spanish Copa del Rey – and the Bats have won all six of their clashes. Valencia is going to start ascending the Spanish Primera Division ladder soon and, at 1.55  with Betway, it represents a good wager on this weekend’s programme.

TOP TIP! – Valencia to beat Leganes @ 1.55

Get the best odds in this weekend’s La Liga games with our selected bookmakers below.


Betis vs Valladolid

Betis v Valladolid – Sunday 21st October – 19:45 BST

TOP TIP! – Betis to beat Valladolid @ 1.62

Betis and Valladolid occupy adjacent rungs on the Spanish Primera Division ladder ahead of the resumption but one is tipping the Green and Whites to beat the White and Violets at 1.62  with 888sport.

That is because, according to expected points, Betis is roughly where it deserves to be on the Spanish Primera Division ladder but Valladolid is flattered by its spot.

Betis is eighth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder when, according to expected points, the Green and Whites ought to be fifth, whereas Valladolid is seventh when it should be 14th. Scoring is Valladolid’s Achilles heel – the White and Violets have notched just seven goals, which is very close to their expected goals rating, and it is only a matter of time before they taste defeat again following a pre-break run of three consecutive league wins. Valladolid has beaten Huesca, Villarreal and Levante in its last three Spanish Primera Division matches but the White and Violets ought to have been thrashed by the Yellow Submarine and they merited little more than draws versus their other recent opponents.

The head-to-head data pertaining to Betis against Valladolid is not particularly relevant because the sides have not met in a competitive game since early March 2015 but, for the record, the Green and Whites are 3-3-0 versus the White and Violets across all competitions since late November 2012.


Sociedad v Girona

Sociedad v Girona – Monday 22nd October – 20:00 BST

TOP TIP! – Sociedad to beat Girona @ 1.70

Finally, one likes the chance of Sociedad posting a Spanish Primera Division victory over Girona at 1.70  with Black Type in the final match of the round, which is scheduled to run from Friday to Monday.

Last season’s corresponding Spanish Primera Division fixture resulted in a 5-0 success for Sociedad and La Real led the White and Reds for 57 minutes in the reverse match only to draw 1-1. According to Spanish Primera Division expected points, Sociedad merits being above Girona on the ladder and that recent head-to-head outcome is hard to ignore.

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  • betis
  • Girona
  • Leganes
  • Sociedad
  • Spanish Primera Division
  • valencia
  • Valladolid

    About the author

    Carl Wright
    Carl Wright

    Sports Writer

    Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.