One does not have to go off the beaten track to find good bets in the eighth round of Spanish Primera Division games, with Barcelona and Real Madrid betting options sticking out.
Barcelona is a different team under Luis Enrique than it was under Gerardo Martino. Barcelona is less reckless under its former midfielder than it was under Martino and that makes it a better vehicle for win-to-nil punting, particularly at home to Spanish Primera Division minnows such as Eibar.
Eibar has made a solid start to its first-ever season in the Spanish Primera Division, accumulating nine points from its opening seven matches but not exactly going goal crazy with just eight strikes. Eibar was not prolific in winning the Spanish Segunda Division, either, netting only 49 goals in its 42 games – eight of its rivals scored more goals.
Sky Bet is offering odds of -149 about Barcelona maintaining its Spanish Primera Division championship lead with a home win to nil over an Eibar side that, with all due respect, may spend the match chasing shadows and admiring the Camp Nou. It has the potential to be a one-sided home victory, although one does not want to play on the various handicaps when there are generous win-to-nil odds available. Barcelona is yet to concede a Spanish Primera Division goal this term.
Real Madrid’s Spanish Primera Division assignment following the international break is an away game against Levante for which it is trading at odds of -182 with Bwin to take out by more than one goal. It is the pick of the bets on the match.
Whereas Real Madrid has been victorious in each of its last six games across all competitions, racking up an aggregate score of 27-5, Levante has lost each of its last three home matches without scoring a goal, including a 0-5 defeat when Barcelona visited. If Barcelona scored five goals away to Levante then so can Real Madrid because the Meringues have the most frightening forward line in club football.
Clean sheets have not been Real Madrid’s forte – opposition teams have found a way past the Meringues defence in the majority of games – so backing Carlo Ancelotti’s side to shut out Levante and win appeals less than the handicap wager. Real Madrid has covered a one-goal handicap in five of its six wins on the spin and it is several grades above Levante, which looks set for a long and difficult season.
Finally, here are some cards statistics pertaining to the Spanish Primera Division derby between Cordoba and Malaga.
Bookmakers have a tendency to leave framing cards-related markets until shortly before Spanish Primera Division matches but one is keen to get on the right side of cards provided that the lines are not very high when they appear.
Cordoba has received 20 yellow cards in its seven Spanish Primera Division games, while Malaga has received 15 yellow cards and a league-high five red cards over the same number of matches. Also, Cordoba has taken part in one Andalusia derby during the Spanish Primera Division campaign already and it resulted in a total of eight yellow cards – six for Cordoba in front of its own fans and two for Sevilla.
Then there is the important matter of the referee for the Spanish Primera Division derby between Cordoba and Malaga. From what one can tell, Jose Luis Gonzalez has refereed six Spanish Primera Division derbies since the beginning of the 2009-2010 season and all of them have featured between seven and nine yellow cards, with the average exceeding eight.
We’ve revisited the card index market, and the bookies don’t give us a lot of wiggle room. Over 65.5 points at -143 with Boylesports is the safe bet, but as mentioned, the record of Gonzalez in derbies coupled with the the 2 teams start to the season might a small bit of value in the over 75.5 at +120 with the same bookmaker.
Barcelona win to nil v Eibar
18th October 19:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Sky Bet
Real Madrid -1 to beat Levante
18th October 15:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Bwin
Cordoba v Malaga Overs in the card index
18th October 21:00 GMT
Where to Bet: Boylesports
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