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Back 0-0 Draws Blind in Play-Offs Semi-Final First Legs
Eric Roberts 2016-05-13 in Football Tips
Betting on 0-0 draws is not something that football punters do for fun – there is nothing worse than having a heart attack every time that the ball enters the penalty area – but there are grounds for placing such bets on the first legs of the English Football League play-offs semi-finals.
It is not common knowledge that the away goals rule does not apply in the English Football League play-offs even though that has been the case since the 1999-2000 season. David Sheepshanks, then chairman of Ipswich, led a campaign to change the laws after the Tractor Boys lost two English Football League play-offs semi-finals in three campaigns.
The absence of the away goals rule in the English Football League play-offs means that there is no requirement for the visiting teams in the semi-final first legs to risk life and limb to get on the scoresheet. Therefore, the angle that one has chosen to investigate concerns backing goalless draws in each of the five remaining English Football League play-offs semi-final first legs, a strategy that will produce a profit if one or more of those matches produces a 0-0 result.
The 2014-2015 season was the first time in the last nine editions of the English Football League play-offs that none of the semi-final first legs ended goalless – the games had scorelines of 0-1, 1-1, 1-1, 1-2, 1-2 and 2-3. Only three of the 16 editions of the English Football League play-offs played without the away goals rule have not featured at least one semi-final first leg that finished 0-0 – the 2003-2004, 2005-2006 and 2014-2015 seasons – with 15 of the 96 matches ending goalless. Fifteen out of 96 equates to a betting percentage of 15.63 and betting odds of 27/56.40+5405.405.40-0.19 . Odds greater than 27/56.40+5405.405.40-0.19 are available on each of this season’s English Football League play-offs semi-final first legs finishing 0-0 so shop around and back all of them blind.
Back 0-0 Draws in each of the five remaining play off first legs:
Sheffield Wednesday v Brighton
Friday 13th May, 19:45 GMT
Odds: 13/27.50+6506.506.50-0.15 with William Hill
Derby v Hull
Saturday 14th May, 12:30 GMT
Odds: 6/17.00+6006.006.00-0.17 with Bet365
Barnsley v Wallsall
Saturday 14th May, 17:30 GMT
Odds: 9/110.00+9009.009.00-0.11 with Betfair
Bradford v Millwall
Sunday 15th May, 12:15 GMT
Odds: 7/18.00+7007.007.00-0.14 with William Hill
AFC Wimbledon v Accrington
Saturday 14th May, 19:30 GMT
Odds: 17/29.50+8508.508.50-0.12 with Coral
For the record, here is the list of English Football League play-offs semi-final first legs since the 1999-2000 season.
Brentford 1 Middlesbrough 2
Ipswich 1 Norwich 1
Chesterfield 0 Preston 1
Sheffield United 1 Swindon 2
Brighton 1 Derby 2
Wigan 0 Queens Park Rangers 0
Peterborough 1 Leyton Orient 1
Preston 1 Rotherham 1
Burton 1 Southend 0
York 0 Fleetwood
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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