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Atletico to Return From the Canaries With Three Points
Eric Roberts 2016-01-13 in Football Tips
Atletico Madrid is odds on across the board to take out its Spanish Primera Division match at Las Palmas on Sunday but one thinks that the Mattressers are overpriced to win again.
Not as fashionable as Barcelona and Real Madrid, Atletico Madrid is top of the Spanish Primera Division ladder on 44 points from 19 games and, while the Mattressers have played one more match than Barca, the men from the capital city’s schedule has put them on the road with greater regularity.
The Spanish Primera Division season is halfway through and, therefore, Las Palmas and Atletico Madrid have faced every other top-flight team once. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Atletico boasts a 13-5-1 advantage over Las Palmas, including a 1-0 win in the reverse fixture that took place during the opening round of games – Antoine Griezmann scored in the 16th minute of that match. Barcelona is the only Spanish Primera Division side against which Las Palmas has performed better than Atletico and, because Barca beat both teams, one is inclined not to read too much into that particular Spanish Primera Division collateral form line. Everything points to Atletico being well worth a wager at odds of 31/501.62-1610.62-1.610.62 with Bet365 to post its 15th Spanish Primera Division victory and inflict a 10th league defeat on Las Palmas.
Gary Neville’s managerial career has not taken off anywhere near as well as his punditry career but one cannot get away from Valencia at odds of 31/501.62-1610.62-1.610.62 with BetVictor to get the better of Vallecano on Sunday.
Valencia has not won a Spanish Primera Division game since Neville quit Sky Sports in the United Kingdom to take over at the Mestalla but its recent results, while disappointing, have been superior to those of Vallecano. Valencia is 11th on the Spanish Primera Division ladder – eight points and eight rungs above Vallecano – and one’s collateral form analysis suggests that, if anything, the gap between the sides should be wider. Valencia enjoys a 12-3-4 Spanish Primera Division collateral form edge over Vallecano and, before Neville arrived, his team drew the reverse fixture 0-0 – one rates that as a minor collateral form triumph.
Only time will tell if Neville has the qualities to succeed as a boss but Valencia has a much stronger squad than that of Vallecano and the Englishman’s team is one of just two Spanish Primera Division sides yet to lose on home soil. Vallecano has the Spanish Primera Division’s third worst away record and its defence is the section’s leakiest.
Finally, Eibar owes its position of sixth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder to its dismissal of teams below it and that is one of the reasons why the Gunners round out one’s list at odds of 17/201.85-1180.85-1.180.85 to overcome Granada on Monday.
Eibar has not defeated a side ranked higher than eighth on the Spanish Primera Division ladder but the Gunners have been prolific points collectors versus teams on the bottom half, especially on home turf. Granada has had a couple of Spanish Primera Division highlights but, apart from winning at Bilbao and Sevilla, the Nasrids have had a desperate campaign. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Eibar holds a 9-6-4 lead over Granada, including a 3-1 success in the reverse fixture.
Espanyol almost made it into one’s Spanish Primera Division portfolio for the 20th round of matches but we go into more detail about the Parakeets in our weekly Rags to Riches article that explains why it may be worth having a speculative punt on a betting outsider.
Atletico Madrid to beat Las Palmas
17th January 19:15 GMT
Valencia to beat Vallecano
17th January 11:00 GMT
Eibar to beat Granada
18th January 19:30 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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