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Atletico to maintain title push with win to nil

April 17, 2014

Atlético MadridTitle-chasing Atletico Madrid has won each of its last four Spanish Primera Division home games without conceding a goal and odds of 1.80 with Boylesports about it making it five such victories in a row appeals when Elche comes to town.

Only time will tell if Atletico Madrid ends its 18-year wait for its 10th Spanish Primera Division championship but one is willing to bet that if Diego Simeone’s team falls short that it will not be because of its defensive statistics.

Atletico Madrid has let in just 22 goals in its 33 Spanish Primera Division matches, including only nine goals in its 17 home games. Both are Spanish Primera Division bests for the season. Atletico Madrid is like what Arsenal was under George Graham – equally happy to win 1-0 as to win 5-0.

Elche is the lowest scorer in the Spanish Primera Division having notched just 27 goals in its 33 matches. The best defence versus the worst attack in a match that means the world to the superior side screams victory to the odds-on favourite. But rather than back Atletico Madrid at a short price, the bet is to back Simeone’s team to win to nil.

Atletico Madrid has been victorious to nil in 10 of its 17 Spanish Primera Division home games, while Elche has lost five of its 16 top-flight away matches without scoring.

Betting on under two and a half goals is not much fun to watch but the Spanish Primera Division game between Levante and Getafe is likely to reward punters who back the option.

Levante’s 33 Spanish Primera Division matches have produced an average of 2.15 goals, with 20 of them going under two and a half goals. Getafe’s 33 Spanish Primera Division games have had a mean of 2.42 goals, with 22 of them going under two and a half goals. Therefore, Getafe is the Spanish Primera Division’s under-two-and-a-half-goals king because, while it has featured in a few high-scoring matches, no other side can get close to its 22-out-of-33 statistic.

When two teams that have good under-two-and-a-half-goals numbers meet there is a good chance that they will play out a low-scoring game. Levante travelled to Getafe five months ago and it took a late Pedro Leon goal to separate the sides after the first 78 minutes had failed to produce a goal.

BetVictor is offering juicy odds of 1.65 that Levante’s and Getafe’s Spanish Primera Division under-two-and-a-half-goals statistics are even healthier by the end of their match.

Finally, Sevilla beat Granada 2-1 on the road in December and one fancies to them strongly to complete the Spanish Primera Division double at odds of 1.44 with Coral.

A statistical quirk is that Sevilla’s Spanish Primera Division home record is the mirror image of Granada’s Spanish Primera Division away record. Sevilla has won nine, drawn three and lost four of its 16 Spanish Primera Division home games, whereas Granada has won four, drawn three and lost nine of its 16 Spanish Primera Division away matches.

Sevilla has climbed the Spanish Primera Division ladder on the back of its impressive run of home results, which includes consecutive victories over Sociedad, Valladolid, Real Madrid and Espanyol. Also, it has been Sevilla’s form in its home city that has powered its UEFA Europa League campaign. Sevilla will play Valencia in the semi-finals.

Granada shocked Barcelona at home on its last Spanish Primera Division start but it has accrued just one point from its last eight top-flight road trips and that point was courtesy of a 3-3 draw at relegation-threatened Getafe.

About the author

Eric Roberts
Eric Roberts

Sports Journalist

Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.