Levante’s relegation from the Spanish Primera Division is guaranteed following its last-start 1-3 loss at Malaga so one expects the Frogs to be flat for their Sunday match against championship-chasing Atletico Madrid.
Sunday’s game between Getafe and Sporting means that at least one of them will get to 36 Spanish Primera Division points and that is a tally that Levante cannot match so the Frogs will go down after six years among the elite. Levante has won only seven of its 36 Spanish Primera Division games and its record versus the league’s top teams is particularly poor – the Frogs are 1-2-12 against the leading eight sides.
Atletico Madrid is in fine form and one is not worried about the Mattressers backing up from UEFA Champions League action on Tuesday because they will be feeling superb after edging out Bayern Munchen on away goals. Atletico beat Levante 1-0 in January’s reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture, just one of 21 top-flight matches that the Mattressers have won to nil. It is easy to poke fun at the lack of depth in the Spanish Primera Division but, even so, Atletico’s effort in keeping 23 clean sheets in its 36 league games is terrific.
BetVictor is offering odds of 4/51.80-1250.80-1.250.80 about Atletico Madrid keeping its Spanish Primera Division title rivals, Barcelona and Real Madrid, honest with a win to nil over a Levante team that had its sorry fate confirmed earlier this week. And according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Atletico enjoys an 18-0-1 lead over Levante.
It is that time of the Spanish Primera Division season when bookmakers put up frankly ridiculous odds about some matches because they feature sides with supposedly more motivation than their opponents. One highlighted the value in backing Malaga versus Celta in this week’s column highlighting a live outsider and one is nominating Las Palmas and Sociedad as being well over their true odds in this article.
Athletic makes the trip to Las Palmas on Sunday and, on face value, the Lions have little for which to play. Athletic is six points behind Villarreal on the Spanish Primera Division ladder with two rounds remaining but the Lions cannot usurp the Yellow Submarine due to the head-to-head record between the teams favouring the latter. Athletic is guaranteed to finish the Spanish Primera Division competition in fifth, sixth or seventh spot and, due to the make-up of the Spanish Copa del Rey final, each of those places comes with a berth in next season’s UEFA Europa League tournament. One could forgive Athletic’s players for switching off before the Spanish Primera Division ends given the circumstances.
If one accepts that Athletic does not have any real reason to bust its balls against Las Palmas then one must support the Yellows at odds of 17/54.40+3403.403.40-0.29 with Marathonbet. According to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Las Palmas trails Athletic 7-1-11 but the Yellows did earn a 2-2 away draw in January’s reverse league fixture. All things considered, one thinks that Las Palmas should be trading at odds of around the 7/42.75+1751.751.75-0.57 mark to get the better of Athletic.
One acknowledges that Sociedad’s Spanish Primera Division guest, Vallecano, has a lot for which to play on Sunday but that does not entitle bookmakers to be so dismissive about La Real’s chance of posting a home win over their visitor.
Vallecano’s Spanish Primera Division away record of 1-7-10 is the fourth worst in the league and Rayo have kept only one clean sheet in their 18 league road games. Furthermore, according to one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis, Sociedad boasts a 12-0-7 edge over Vallecano, including a 2-2 away draw in January’s reverse fixture.
Sociedad, which defeated Barcelona 1-0 at home in Spanish Primera Division action last month, is silly odds at 67/253.68+2682.682.68-0.37 with Marathonbet to deepen Vallecano’s relegation worries.
Finally, here are one’s Spanish Primera Division collateral form analysis results for each of Round 37’s 10 matches. The asterisk signifies the head-to-head winner.
Barcelona 17*-1-1 versus Espanyol
Celta 6-4-9* versus Malaga
Eibar 7*-4-8 versus Betis
Getafe 9*-2-8 versus Gijon
Las Palmas 7*-1-11 versus Athletic
Levante 1-0-18* versus Atletico Madrid
Real Madrid 16*-1-2 versus Valencia
Sociedad 12*-0-7 versus Vallecano
Sevilla 14-0-5* versus Granada
Villarreal 12*-1-6 versus Deportivo
Atletico Madrid to beat Levante to Nil
Sunday 8th May, 16:00 GMT
Las Palmas to beat Athletic Bilbao
Sunday 8th May, 16:00 GMT
Real Sociedad to beat Rayo Vallecano
Sunday 8th May, 16:00 GMT
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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