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Atalanta Is the Real Deal Compared to Lazio

December 14, 2018


Atalanta v Lazio – 17th December – 19:30 BST

The penultimate Italian Serie A round before Christmas runs over four days and it is worth biding one’s time until the third of those days when Atalanta hosts Lazio on Monday.

Atalanta is on the rise up the Italian Serie A ladder and the Goddess really ought to be close to even money to get the better of higher ranked Lazio team that is heading in the opposite direction and was engaged in UEFA Europa League action while their weekend opponents were resting.

Italian Serie A expected goals and expected points numbers suggested Atalanta was going to ascend the ladder sooner rather than later and the Goddess is up to seventh and closing in on fifth-ranked Lazio. Atalanta has won five of its last seven Italian Serie A matches and the Goddess can count themselves somewhat unlucky not to be unbeaten during that period. Last weekend, Atalanta travelled to Udine to face Udinese and Daniel Zapata’s hat-trick helped the Goddess to register a richly deserved 3-1 road victory.

According to Italian Serie A expected goals, Lazio should have battered Sampdoria last time out but the White and Sky Blues had to settle for a 2-2 draw when a more equitable result would have been a home win by a three-goal margin. Lazio has failed to win any of its last six games across all competitions and the White and Sky Blues have not kept a clean sheet since prevailing 2-0 at Parma 11 matches ago.

Atalanta holds a 6-2-4 Italian Serie A collateral form edge over Lazio but that only tells you half of the story because the Goddess have outperformed the White and Sky Blues versus most of the division’s heavyweights, with the Rome-based team just excelling against the league’s strugglers.

TOP TIP! – Atalanta to beat Lazio @ 2.25Bet €100 to win €2255/4Bet £100 to win £225+125Bet $100 to win $2251.25Bet HK$100 to win HK$2251.25Bet Rp100 to win Rp225-0.8000Bet RM100 to win RM225  with Bet365

Get the best odds in the Italian Serie A with our selected bookmakers below.



Juventus v Torino – 15th December – 19:30 BST

TOP TIP! – Juventus to beat Torino @ 1.61Bet €100 to win €16161/100Bet £100 to win £161-164Bet $100 to win $1610.61Bet HK$100 to win HK$161-1.64Bet Rp100 to win Rp1610.6100Bet RM100 to win RM161

Betting in derbies is not normally one’s thing but Juventus has such a good record versus Torino one does not mind in backing the Old Lady to win at the Maroons on Saturday at 1.61Bet €100 to win €16161/100Bet £100 to win £161-164Bet $100 to win $1610.61Bet HK$100 to win HK$161-1.64Bet Rp100 to win Rp1610.6100Bet RM100 to win RM161  with Bet365. Not since April 2015 has Juventus lost to Torino, with the Old Lady registering seven wins and one draw from their eight local arguments across all tournaments since they suffered that 1-2 Italian Serie A away reverse three years ago.

According to Italian Serie A expected points, Juventus is in its rightful spot on top of the ladder, whereas Torino is ranked sixth when it should below halfway. Also, according to one’s Italian Serie A collateral form analysis, Juventus enjoys a 9-2-1 advantage over Torino, which is almost as emphatic as those numbers get before the halfway point of any league. Juventus is one’s second best bet on the Italian Serie A coupon behind Atalanta but in front of SPAL.

SPAL v Chievo – 16th December – 11:30 BST

TOP TIP! – SPAL to beat Chievo @ 2.10Bet €100 to win €21011/10Bet £100 to win £210+110Bet $100 to win $2101.10Bet HK$100 to win HK$2101.10Bet Rp100 to win Rp210-0.9091Bet RM100 to win RM210

With Sampdoria’s odds too short, Sassuolo unreliable after capitulating versus Fiorentina last weekend and Fiorentina missing three suspended regular starters, SPAL makes one’s Italian Serie A punting portfolio against Chievo on Sunday at 2.10Bet €100 to win €21011/10Bet £100 to win £210+110Bet $100 to win $2101.10Bet HK$100 to win HK$2101.10Bet Rp100 to win Rp210-0.9091Bet RM100 to win RM210  with Black Type.

SPAL and Chievo have lined up versus 12 of the same Italian Serie A sides this term and the Flying Donkeys have fared better than their weekend hosts against only one of them. Sunday’s clash is very significant in terms of the Italian Serie A relegation scrap but one is confident SPAL has a bit to spare over Chievo and that it should be odds on for what would be a priceless three points in its survival fight.


Internazionale 7-3-2

Torino 1-2-9

SPAL 6-5-1

Fiorentina 7-3-2

Frosinone 2-3-7

Sampdoria 5-2-5

Cagliari 2-4-6

Roma 7-2-3

Atalanta 6-2-4

Bologna 2-1-9

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  • Atalanta
  • Chievo
  • Italian Serie A
  • Juventus
  • Lazio
  • SPAL
  • Torino

    About the author

    Carl Wright
    Carl Wright

    Sports Writer

    Carl is the original ‘Special One’ and uses his statistical knowledge of football to gain the upper hand over the bookies on a weekly basis. A student of odds and probabilities, Carl brings his vast experience of playing the odds and beating the bookies to a weekly column highlighting the very best football bets.