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Backing both teams to score was the key to success in the last Italian Serie A round and one thinks that playing that card on one of Sunday’s matches represents the best way to approach the 36th round of the championship campaign.
Forty-two goals hit the back of the net in the 35th Italian Serie A round as, for the first time since the league went to 20 teams in 2004, every side got on the scoresheet in a set of games. Both teams to score went 10-0 and over two and a half goals went 9-1, with only the round-opening 1-1 draw between Juventus and Cagliari going under the popular line.
The Italian Serie A match that has taken one’s fancy in the next batch of games is the clash between Atalanta and Genoa, with several bookmakers, including Ladbrokes and Totesport, offering odds of 67/100 1.67 -149 0.67 -1.49 0.67 about both sides scoring.
Both teams scored in one of Atalanta’s first eight Italian Serie A matches but there has not been a clean sheet in any of its last eight divisional games, taking its overall record to 19-16 – a remarkable statistical turnaround.
Twenty-two of Genoa’s 35 Italian Serie A matches have seen both sides score, including four of its last five divisional games. Genoa really requires three Italian Serie A points to boost its chance of qualifying for the UEFA Europa League so one expects it to play positively, while Atalanta needs one point to guarantee that Cagliari cannot overtake it because the Bergamo-based team boasts a head-to-head advantage.
The reverse Italian Serie A fixture resulted in a 2-2 draw, Atalanta racing out to a 2-0 lead before Genoa fought back with two second-half goals. History buffs will know that both sides have scored in each of the last four Italian Serie A matches between Atalanta and Genoa, all of which have ended level. We may see yet another scoring draw.
Neither Roma nor Udinese covered itself in glory last time out but, on what is not a compelling Italian Serie A coupon from a punting perspective, the Wolves should get the job done at odds of 9/25 1.36 -278 0.36 -2.78 0.36 with Coral. Roma beat Udinese 1-0 in the reverse Italian Serie A fixture four months ago – Davide Astori’s 17th-minute goal did the business – and the Wolves have something for which to play until their opponents. Roma requires six points from its last three Italian Serie A games to guarantee that it finishes in the top three and qualifies for the riches of the UEFA Champions League.
Seasonal Italian Serie A statistics would support a bet on under two and a half goals in Sunday’s match between Roma and Udinese – all the usual numbers that one reviews point to such a punt – but one cannot rule out the possibility of a blow-out Wolves win. Udinese’s last Italian Serie A game ended in a 1-4 home drubbing at the hands of Sampdoria.
Finally, Torino’s 1-5 Italian Serie A defeat at Genoa on its last start was not as bad as the scoreline suggests and it may bounce back with a home victory over Chievo. Torino was level with Genoa after 68 minutes and the match was 2-1 in favour of the host until the 86th minute after which time it scored three late goals. Torino was going for all three points and paid the price for committing too many players forward in search of equalising and winning goals.
Unlike Torino, Chievo has nothing for which to play except pride and one thinks that it could slack off following its 2-2 Italian Serie A home derby draw with Verona last week. So Torino makes one’s Italian Serie A cut at odds of 3/4 1.75 -133 0.75 -1.33 0.75 with many bookmakers, including Bet365 and Bwin.
Roma to beat Udinese
17th May 19:45 GMT
Odds: 9/25 1.36 -278 0.36 -2.78 0.36
Where to Bet: Coral