Almeria to improve survival chance by beating Malaga


Almeria’s need for three Spanish Primera Division points is much greater than that of Malaga and one thinks that Sergi Barjuan’s relegation-threatened team represents the best bet on the coupon at odds of +170 with Bet365 and BetVictor.

With three rounds of the Spanish Primera Division remaining Almeria is two points above the drop zone and its situation could get worse with officials saying that they intend to deduct three points for its late payment in relation to Michael Jakobsen’s transfer from AaB three years ago.

Almeria is hopeful of holding on to all its Spanish Primera Division points but, in the meantime, it must fight tooth and nail to stay above the relegation line. Almeria beat Malaga 2-1 in the reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture and, while 15 points separate the sides on the ladder, one gets the impression that the higher ranked team has checked out mentally. Malaga needs a miracle to snatch one of the Spanish Primera Division’s UEFA Europa League berths after failing to win any of its last eight divisional matches.

Malaga’s Spanish Primera Division campaign peaked when it somehow beat Barcelona 1-0 at the Camp Nou – each of its subsequent five league away games have ended in defeat and Javi Gracia’s fading side has scored just one goal in those matches. Almeria versus Malaga is an all-Andalusia argument but more than 200 kilometres separate cities and it is not as though the game means the world to the visiting team.

Real Madrid boasts a Spanish Primera Division head-to-head lead over Barcelona so, in the event that the superpowers end the season level on points, the title would go to the Meringues. With Barcelona two points ahead but having to play Atletico Madrid in the capital in the penultimate round, Real Madrid has not given up hope of winning the championship provided that it wins each of its three matches, starting with a home victory over Valencia.

It was Valencia that ended Real Madrid’s 22-game winning streak with a 2-1 success in the reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture but the Meringues led and probably should have been out of sight before their opponents got into the contest. Real Madrid dominated most of the key statistics and, therefore, one would have to say that the Meringues were unlucky to lose against a Valencia side that has not overly impressed one throughout the course of the campaign.

BetVictor is providing punters with an opportunity to back Real Madrid at odds of -227 to beat Valencia in Saturday’s Spanish Primera Division match and, given that the underdog has posted only one league win on the road to a top-nine team – and that was regional rival Villarreal – one is interested in supporting the Meringues at their price.

Finally, one can make a case for backing Vallecano at odds of +100 with several bookmakers, including 888Sport and WilliamHill, to get the better of Getafe on Monday.

Vallecano is in better form than Getafe – after all, one’s selection did not suffer the ignominy of a 1-2 home loss to 19th-placed Granada last time out – it boasts home advantage and it won the reverse Spanish Primera Division fixture 2-1.

Like Malaga, one thinks that Getafe could be going through the motions now that, barring a series of strange results, its Spanish Primera Division membership is assured.

Tips Summary

Almeria to beat Malaga
10th May 18:00 GMT
Odds:  +170
Where to Bet: Bet365BetVictor

Real Madrid to beat Valencia
9th May 19:00 GMT
Odds:  -227
Where to Bet: BetVictor

Vallecano to beat Getafe
11th May 19:45 GMT
Odds:  +100
Where to Bet: 888Sport, WilliamHill

Michael Jakobsen
Sergi Barjuan
Spanish Primera Division

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