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Week #7 TNF Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers

October 17, 2012

Seattle Seahawks at San Francisco 49ers -7 OvUn 37.5 8:20 EST

The NFC West takes center stage Thursday Night as the Seattle Seahawks travel to San Francisco to take on the 49ers.

The Seahawks pulled off perhaps their best victory of the season last week, at home, against the New England Patriots. The offense totaled a season high 368 yards against the Patriots, and rookie QB Russell Wilson also had his best day of the year. He threw for a career high 293 yards and threw two touchdowns in the final 8 minutes. His 46 yard TD pass to Sidney Rice with 1:18 left put the Seahawks ahead 24-23, and the defense held on to win.

The Niners, who were preseason favorites to win the division, are now realizing the fight for the NFC West crown is a lot tougher than they thought. Both Seattle and Arizona match them with 4-2 records and are clearly much improved. San Francisco has lost its last two games after falling to the Giants 26-3 on Sunday. The 49ers could do nothing offensively; the Giants sacked Alex Smith six times, and gave coach Harbaugh his worst loss as head coach.

Both the Seahawks and the 49ers have top five NFL defenses. The Niners have the top ranked defense in the NFL, giving up 275.8 yards a game. The Seahawks fell from the top spot to fourth overall, after giving up 475 yards to the Patriots.

The Line

Opened at San Francisco -9, and quickly moved to SF -7. The total opened at 38.5 and has moved down to 37.5.

The Play

We know the oddsmakers know their stuff, but this number does seem a little strange. Both teams will be coming off a short week, and while Seattle had an impressive victory last week, San Francisco is coming off two losses.

If we look a little deeper, we’ll see that the Niners normally rebound well off losses – with the exception being last week – to the tune of outscoring opponents 96-11. The -7 number seems a little suspicious, even at home, but when bettors think they see a mistake the best course of action would be to bet with the mistake.

We like San Francisco to take control of this division, and take care of the Seahawks this Thursday.

San Francisco -7 at TopBet.eu

About the author

Eric Roberts
Eric Roberts

Sports Journalist

Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.