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Thursday Night Football Week #13

November 28, 2012

New Orleans Saints at Atlanta Falcons -3 OvUn 55.5

November 28th, 2012 NFL Network 8:20 EST

A rematch of two NFC South rivals headline the kickoff to Week 13 in the NFL. In the previous matchup, the Saints handed the Falcons their first defeat 31-27 at home on November 11th.

New Orleans at 5-6 is currently on the outside looking in the playoff picture in the NFC, and will need some luck to qualify for the postseason even if they win the rest of their games. The Saints ended their three game win streak with a loss to San Francisco 31-21. Drew Brees was effective in the matchup, but his two interceptions cost the Saints big. Both were returned for touchdowns and proved too much to overcome despite three touchdown passes from the quarterback.

If the Saints want to have any chance of taking out the Falcons they will need continued improvement from their defense. Though they still rank last in the NFL, New Orleans held the 49ers to a season low 375 yards last Sunday.

Atlanta at 10-1 is firmly the leader in the NFC South and tied for the NFL’s best record with the Houston Texans. Last week, they battled in a tough game against rival Tampa Bay ultimately winning 24-23.

The Falcons are ready for revenge against the Saints as wide out Roddy White stated, “I think we kind of gave it to them.” There is certainly plenty of bad blood between these two divisional rivals.

The Line

The line opened at Atlanta -3 and is currently at -3.5 and -3 depending on the book. 3 is a critical number so be sure to shop around before you bet. The total opened at 55 and is at 55.5 and 56 at most shops.

The Play

If you read our column a few weeks back, we were all over the Saints as home underdogs facing the Falcons. However, this situation is a bit different. The Saints are coming off perhaps their most physical game of the year against the 49ers and will have only a few days to prepare until this Thursday Night Clash. We all know the Saints are better than their 5-6 record, but they have shot themselves in the foot so often this season, it’s hard to trust them against one of the best teams in the NFL – a team that plays especially well at home, as well. Couple that with the revenge factor for Atlanta and we could see this one getting out of hand. Even though, both top corners are questionable for the Falcons; Samuel and Robinson should still both suit up Sunday. We like the Dirty Birds to take it to the Saints.

We are betting on Atlanta -3 at TopeBet.eu

About the author

Eric Roberts
Eric Roberts

Sports Journalist

Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.