Sunday Night Football Week #14 Dec. 9th, 2012
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers -6.5 OvUn 48 8:20 EST
Detroit heads into Lambeau Field – a place they have not won in since 1991 – just playing for pride. The Lions did not anticipate their season playing out this way, as they sit on a 4-8 record coming into Week 14.
The Lions lost another heartbreaker last week as they led much of the game only to lose on the final play of regulation against the Colts, 35-33. The Lions still do have some positives to lean on, even though they’re out of the playoff picture. Calvin Johnson may break the NFL record in receiving this season and could break another NFL record against the Packers if he breaks 125 yards receiving for the sixth straight game. QB Matthew Stafford has also made up for his slow start and now leads the NFL with 3,742 passing yards.
The Lions will be without receivers Titus Young, due to suspension, and Ryan Broyles, due to injury. This will force David Thomas into the passing game more often but also upgrade Pettigrew and tight end Tony Scheffler will play in the slot.
Green Bay is 8-4 on the season and is tied with the Chicago Bears for first place in the NFC East. The Pack won a tough physical game last week against Minnesota, despite giving up 170 yards to Adrian Peterson.
Green Bay has been hit with injuries on their offensive line and in the passing game. Greg Jennings is now finally healthy, but Jordy Nelson is out with a sore hamstring. Alex Green takes over the running game with an injury to James Starks.
The line opened at Green Bay -6.5 and hasn’t moved much. The total was originally at 52 and is now at 48, this move is in large part due to the uncertain weather forecast.
Though this game projects to be pretty high scoring, we’re not so sure it plays out that way. The Packers have gotten Aaron Rodgers sacked more than any other quarterback and ran a season high 29 times last week. We’re thinking they stick to the run game a little more to keep their QB safe for the playoffs. Also, the Lions are missing two of their top wide outs forcing Mike Thomas into a starting role. We all know Calvin Johnson can beat any defense, but Stafford has misfired quite a bit this season and really never gets going until the second half. The public may see two power offenses facing off in this game, but we see two times that are hurting on that side of the ball. The chance of snow in this one is another factor to make us this think one is going under.
Go for Under 48 at leading US sportsbook Bovada – www.bovada.lv
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