Last week was my first real bad week. It was the first week where I lost multiple selections. I ended up losing on both of my teaser bets in week 6 for a loss of two units (+1.8U Overall).
I like a couple games a lot this week, but overall it looks to be another tough week.
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Denver (4-1) still just has one loss against the Seahawks. They now play another tough NFC West team in the 49ers (4-2). This game is at Mile High and that’ll give the Broncos the edge to win this game.
San Francisco was down 14-0 against the Rams on MNF, but ended up winning 31-17. The best offense is going to win this game. The 49ers are averaging 23.5 PPG (18th) and 365.3 YPG (15th).
Denver is picking up 389.0 YPG (9th) while scoring 29.4 PPG (3rd). Both defenses rank in the T10 in points allowed. Unless Kaepernick plays his best game of the year SF won’t beat Denver at Mile High.
The Giants (3-3) had their 3-game win streak snapped with a loss to the Eagles (27-0). Dallas (5-1) is rolling and just beat the Seahawks. I expect Dallas to win, but the Giants should bounce back this week.
These two teams know each other well. In the last ten H2H meetings only two of them have been decided by more than a TD. The Giants allow 378.0 YPG (22nd), so Dallas will put up points on the scoreboard.
DeMarco Murray will have another big game and extend his lead in rushing yards. However, Eli should be able to throw on this Cowboys secondary and keep this game within striking distance at all times.
Green Bay (4-2) played poorly last week, but still beat Miami (27-24) on the road. Carolina (3-2-1) had a tie against the Bengals and Cam Newton exploded for the first time this season on the ground.
The problem with the Panthers offense is that if Newton struggles the team doesn’t score points and they often get into turnover trouble. The defense is also struggling and allowing 26.2 PPG (24th).
Aaron Rodgers will be able to throw all over this secondary and Eddie Lacy will pick up 100+ yards on the ground. Unless Newton has another explosive performance on the road the Packers win at Lambeau.
The Rams (1-4) put an early scare into the 49ers, but they completely folded. Seattle (3-2) just lost to the Cowboys and has to bounce back with a win, as they can’t afford moving to 3-3 on the year.
Seattle has the 2nd best rushing attack (149.8 RYPG) and they average 26.6 PPG (12th). The Rams defense is giving up 139.8 RYPG (26th) and 30.0 PPG (30th). Seattle will run all over the Rams.
Seattle’s defense is going to want to bounce back after last week’s poor outing and they won’t take this game lightly. I was surprised the point spread was under a TD for this game, as the Rams are bad.
Both of these bets are 6-point teasers and I’ve placed these wagers at BetOnline.
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