NFL Teaser of the Week Colts, Pats, Chargers – Go! Go! Go!
Eric Roberts 2013-11-23 in NFL Picks
We should have done better last week, but we really crashed and burned with an absolute no-show by the New York Jets against the Buffalo bills, which included a performance by Geno Smith that wouldn’t have even gotten him past the first day of the NFL Scouting Combine. Let’s face it – when they yank you from the game in favor of one of Phil Simms’ kids, you know your career might be hitting rock bottom before its time.
What else can we do but go back to the well once again? That is exactly what we’re going to do, with a three-team, 10-point NFL teaser, which we will play at Top Bet and lay 6/5, or -120. We need three solid components for this teaser, and we think we know just where to find them.
One of those components is the San Diego Chargers, who will be visiting the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday at Arrowhead Stadium. If you take a look at the NFL Column we put together this week, you’ll see that the Chiefs have been outgained on the season by their list of opponents, despite winning nine of ten games, and this suggests that their offense could only help them prevail if there was a lot of mediocrity on the part of the opposition. They have been the beneficiaries of a lot of this mediocrity, but not last week, when they were beaten in rather solid fashion by Denver.
San Diego is not as good as Denver, but they are not impotent like a lot of the Kansas City opponents. Philip Rivers may not have as strong an arm as Alex Smith, has a 104.4 quarterback rating, which is one of the highest in the league, and the Chargers average 40 yards per drive, which is best in the NFL. San Diego may be deficient in some areas, but they have an efficient offense, and that is something the Chiefs may have problems keeping pace with, because they just don’t have an explosive offense. We can see a tight game, and with the Chiefs a 5.5-point favorite in the NFL odds at Top Bet, we are going to be taking the 15.5 points in one part of our NFL teaser. SAN DIEGO +15.5
The Indianapolis Colts were led for most of last season by Bruce Arians, who used the credentials he gathered from that post-season drive and took the head coaching position with the Arizona Cardinals. Arians has not been able to do much to kick-start the Arizona offense, but the Cards have a defense that has help up its end of the bargain, limiting opponents to 3.4 yards a carry and 6.6 yards per pass attempt.
The Colts may have struggled offensively at time without Reggie Wayne in the lineup, but they have put together some decent road trips, coming from behind to beat the likes of Houston and Tennessee and defeating San Francisco rather decisively. The wins over the Texans and Titans don’t necessarily merit a recommendation in and of themselves. And we acknowledge that there is some risk with a Colts team that is not only without Wayne but also Ahmad Bradshaw, and is not getting anything near what they should out of Trent Richardson. But having Andrew Luck, who’s launched all those fourth-quarter comebacks, indicates that Indy may not be too far out of any games. At Top Bet they are getting two points in the NFL betting odds, so we can tease them up to +12, mindful of the fact that the Cards aren’t generally going to put a lot of distance between themselves and their opponents. INDIANAPOLIS +12
On the third part of our teaser we were tempted to do something a little unconventional, by crossing over the “zero line” and making an underdog out of a favorite. But in the Denver-New England game, we’re not going to do that. We had some faith in New England last week, and put them into the NFL teaser, and though they did not win the game outright as we expected, we still want to recognize that this is a pretty healthy team on offense. Shane Vereen is back, and Ron Gronkowski and Danny Amendola are on hand. Bill Belichick will do something to thwart Wes Welker, who he does not get along with. Peyton Manning has a high ankle sprain, and that doesn’t go away so quickly.
We’re also perfectly willing to operate on the assumption that Tom Brady, going head-to-head with Manning, is not going to play like a 59% passer in this game. Yes, the New England defensive front may lend itself to some advancement on the part of Denver’s rushing game, but it is indeed a rare occasion that the Pats are an underdog at home. At Top Bet, in fact, they are getting 2.5 points in the NFL betting odds, so we have no problem teasing them upward. NEW ENGLAND +12.5
To recap, this is our ten-point teaser lineup for Sunday:
San Diego +15.5
New England +12.5
We’ll see you next week, hopefully in the winner’s circle! In the meantime, go to Top Bet and take advantage of great teaser odds in both football and basketball!
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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