I ended up losing 2 units last week (+1.8U Overall) and will look to bounce back this weekend. I’m going with three underdogs in week 6 that I like on the money line although one of them is even money.
The Cleveland Browns (2-2) made a miraculous comeback last week against the Titans once Whitehurst came into the game. The Pittsburgh Steelers (3-2) barely escaped Jacksonville (17-9) with a win.
Cleveland can’t stop the run (152.5 RYPG – 29th) or the pass (269.2 PYPG – 28th). Le’Veon Bell is a big time playmaker that will have his way with this defense on the ground and through the air on short routes.
Pittsburgh has been having trouble putting it into the endzone, as they’re only scoring 22.8 PPG (18th), but this is an offense that ranks in the top ten in rushing yards (137.2 RYPG) and passing yards (266.8 PYPG).
These two teams played in W1 and the Steelers won 30-27 at home. It should have been much worse, but the defense collapsed in the 2H. I don’t expect that to happen again and the Steelers will win comfortably.
The New York Giants (3-2) have won three in a row including a road win over the Redskins. They’re back on the road against a divisional foe this Sunday, as they take on the Philadelphia Eagles (4-1).
LeSean McCoy is having a real bad season and the Eagles are only rushing for 98.6 RYPG (23rd). Despite the run issues, the offense is still scoring 31.2 PPG (2nd) and averaging 265.8 PYPG (9th) through the air.
The G-Men should be able to contain the run, as they only give up 99.0 RYPG (10th). The secondary needs to pick it up, but Nick Foles is prone to mistakes and I expect him to have a couple turnovers in this one.
Philly hasn’t been playing well and they barely beat the Redskins and Rams in their last two homes games, so I’ll be on the Giants. This team is averaging 35.0 PPG during their three game winning streak.
New England (3-2) is a team that we still don’t have a great read on. They just dominated the Bengals, but they also have bad road losses against the Chiefs and Dolphins already during the regular season.
Kyle Orton threw for 308 yards in the win over the Lions (17-14) last week. It was an ugly road win, but all that matters is he got the win. They now head home to play their hate rivals in a game they want badly.
The Buffalo Bills (3-2) schedule has been relatively tough and their defense has been impressive. They’re only allowing 17.8 PPG (5th), 71.0 RYPG (2nd) and 253.8 PYPG (21st). NE will struggle to move the football.
Spiller and Jackson should find running room on the Patriots 17th ranked run defense (119.6 RYPG). Orton will have to manage the game and avoid turnovers, but if he can do that I like the Bills to win at home.
I’d be cautious with the 49ers and Ravens on the road this week as well. Both are favored to win, but both of them have tough match-ups and I could see them potentially losing SU this weekend.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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