2026 FIFA World Cup Outright Winner Odds

Spain World Cup Odds

While Spain has struggled ever since winning the 2010 World Cup, there’s no doubt that they are the team to beat heading into 2026.

The Spanish squad enjoys an incredible depth of talent, especially in midfield. They are young and have both established stars along with young standouts such as Lamine Yamal. And as defending European champions after winning Euro 2024 in dominant fashion, Spain haven’t lost a competitive match since March 2023. If Spain shows up in good form, they will be tough to stop.

Latest Spain World Cup Odds: 9/2 with Mad Casino

England World Cup Odds

Will football finally come home in 2026? England has as good a chance of winning the World Cup this summer as they’ve had in decades, winning every match in qualification and bringing an experienced squad with great attacking depth, led by Harry Kane. Thomas Tuchel has England playing with confidence, which isn’t always a given for English sides, and that could be what finally gets the trophy back to England.

Latest England World Cup Odds: 11/2 with Tenobet

France World Cup Odds

There may be no nation in the world that boasts more all-around depth at every position than France. Kylian Mbappe leads a dangerous attack, and the French have been perhaps the best World Cup squad overall over the past two tournaments, winning in 2018 and reaching the final in 2022. If depth and squad rotations prove critical in this longer-form tournament, Les Bleus will have as good a chance as anyone of winning the tournament.

Latest France World Cup Odds: 7/1 with BetNJet

Brazil World Cup Odds

For most nations, back-to-back quarterfinals in consecutive World Cups would be an excellent result, but Brazil is not most nations.

There are still a lot of questions here, especially when it comes to a defence that has looked shaky against even second-tier competition, let alone the world’s best. But there’s never a lack of talent in Brazil, and South American squads have always done well when the World Cup is hosted in the Americas.

Latest Brazil World Cup Odds: 8/1 with Mad Casino

Argentina World Cup Odds

Spain hasn’t accomplished much at the World Cup since winning the tournament in 2010, most recently bowing out to Russia in the Round of 16 in 2018. However, the Spanish national team has a new generation of exciting talents, including Ferran Torres, Rodri, Paul Torres, and Ansu Fati, who could form the core of a team that will contend for championships for any years to come.

Spain topped Group B in qualifying, and should get through to the knockout rounds in Qatar. But it won’t be easy, as Spain shares a group with Germany, meaning it can’t afford to slip up in matches against Costa Rica or Japan.

Latest Argentina World Cup Odds: 8/1 with Tenobet

Portugal World Cup Odds

Cristiano Ronaldo has played in five World Cups, and has never led Portugal to anything better than a fourth place finish. Will this final shot be the year he gets to lift the trophy? He’ll probably play fewer minutes in his swan song, but Bruno Fernandes will lead a dangerous attack that can’t be overlooked by any of the favourites.

Latest Portugal World Cup Odds: 11/1 with BetNJet

Germany World Cup Odds

Wait, Germany is a dark horse? Believe it or not, Germany hasn’t been out of the group stage of a World Cup since their fourth championship in 2014. The Germans have questions throughout their lineup and surprisingly, may not have the depth of the top contenders anymore, but a strong qualifying performance means they’re still in the mix. 

Latest Germany World Cup Odds: 12/1 with Mad Casino

Netherlands World Cup Odds

When are the Dutch not a dark horse to win the World Cup? The Netherlands have been runners-up three times, but have never lifted the trophy, and they’ve been inconsistent in recent years. Their starting group is tough, but there’s enough quality on this team to remain a threat.

Latest Netherlands World Cup Odds: 20/1 with Tenobet

Morocco World Cup Odds

A true outsider, Morocco had its best ever finish in the 2022 World Cup, reaching the semifinals. After winning all eight of their qualifying matches, Morocco will be looking to show the world that the last performance was no fluke.

Latest Morocco World Cup Odds: 50/1 with Tenobet

First Time Winner

This market asks you to predict whether or not this year’s World Cup winner will take home the first trophy in their country’s history. Betting on ‘no’ means that you will win if Brazil, Germany, Italy, Argentina, France, Uruguay, England, or Spain wins the World Cup. A bet on ‘yes’ takes the rest of the field. While ‘no’ is certainly the favourite, ‘yes’ is always a live bet, especially with nations like the Netherlands, Belgium, and Portugal still looking for their first titles.

To Reach Final

In this market, you will be betting on a country to make it to the World Cup final. Whether your chosen team actually wins the final is irrelevant. As long as they finish first or second, you win the bet. Typically, bookmakers will give you half of the odds you would receive for an outright winner bet when you take a team on this each-way market, though that can change when the knockout stage bracket is revealed.

Winning Group

If you’d like to have a batch of squads to back throughout the World Cup, then winning group markets might be for you. In this form of World Cup outright betting, you will select one of the groups from the group stage. If any team from that group goes on to win the tournament, your bet pays out. The odds on each group differ based on the teams in each pool, so expect tighter odds on tough groups like this year’s Group I.

Top Goalscorer

Do you think you know who will score the most goals at the World Cup? If so, you can bet on the World Cup top goalscorer. The player who scores the most goals at a World Cup wins the Golden Boot, and if you predict who that player will be, your bet is a winner. In the case of a tie for most goals scored, goals by penalty are discounted; if there is still a tie, the player with more assists earns the award and will be graded as the winner in this market.

Golden Ball Winner

The Golden Ball is awarded to the best player at each World Cup. A shortlist of top players is selected by a FIFA committee, after which media members vote on the winner from that group. World Cup Golden Ball betting requires to predict which player will take home this honour. You can bet on any of the top players in the world, while lesser-known athletes are available at greater odds. Lionel Messi won the last Golden Ball at the 2022 World Cup.

Golden Glove Winner

The Golden Glove award honours the best goalkeeper at the World Cup. First awarded in 1994, legends like Oliver Kahn and Gianluigi Buffon have won this trophy, with Argentina’s Emiliano Martinez winning this award in 2022. Major online bookmakers offer World Cup Golden Glove betting odds, allowing you to predict which goalkeeper will be crowned the best of the tournament. Note that goalkeepers can also win the Golden Ball, as Kahn did in 2002.

Compare Odds at Different Sites

The first step you should take when you want to bet on a team to win the tournament is to look at the World Cup outright winner odds for that country at several different bookmakers. Each betting sites sets its odds independently of others, which means the odds won’t be exactly the game.

By comparing the payouts offered at each site, you can find the most favourable odds for the team you want to bet on. There’s no reason to get 5/1 on your pick to win the World Cup if another bookmaker is willing to offer you 6/1 instead.

Check the World Cup Draw

A team’s chances of winning the World Cup aren’t decided solely by the strength of each squad. The tournament draw can also significantly impact the odds. If a team is drawn into a group that features two or three other strong nations, it means their odds of making it to the knockout stage is significantly lower than were it in a softer pool.

The knockout stage bracket also has a major impact on the odds, so keep that in mind if you want to pick an outright World Cup winner in the later stages of the tournament.

Look at Current Form

You can’t accurately predict the results of the World Cup based on reputation alone. For instance, a casual football watcher might think Italy would be among the favourites in 2026, only to find out they didn’t even qualify!

Instead, look at how each country performed in qualifying to get a sense of their recent strength. In addition, recent tournaments and even friendlies in the lead-up to the World Cup can provide helpful information about the current form of each team.

Consider the Temperature

With nearly 3,000 miles separating venues in Vancouver and Miami, the matchday climate

With that in mind, you may wish to pay think about fitness, athleticism, and native climates more than usual at this World Cup. Teams that can better withstand the heat might have an edge over older or less fit counterparts from other countries.