Date: Tuesday, April 21st 2015 at 9:30pm ET TV: TNT
The Houston Rockets opened up their first round series with a win 118-108 win over the Dallas Mavericks at the Toyota Center. These two meet again in Houston for game 2 on Tuesday night.
Houston jumped out to a big lead in the 1st quarter (32-19), but the Mavericks were able to close the gap by halftime. However, the Rockets won both quarters in the 2nd half to win comfortably.
Mavericks vs. Rockets Gambling Lines
The Rockets have opened up as a –5.5 point home favorite on the point spread. Houston opened up as a –200 money line favorite, while the Mavericks are priced at +200 on the money line to win SU.
The over/under is 215 points, which seems high, but these two teams can clearly put up points.
Sharp money is betting the Mavs early, so I expect this point spread to drop. I’ll be betting on the Mavs at +5.5 points to cover ATS. I’ll explain why I’m betting Dallas below in my game preview.
Mavericks vs. Rockets Predictions for Game 2
Bet the Mavericks +5.5 (-110) – Best odds at Bovada
James Harden led the way for the Rockets in game 1 with 24 points and 11 assists. Dirk Nowitzki had a great game, as he finished with 24 points and 8 rebounds, but he also led all players with 6 turnovers.
Dallas lost the turnover battle 17-13 and this team can’t afford turning the basketball over that much if they expect to win. The biggest reason the Mavs lost was because of foul trouble.
Houston went 32 of 45 from the charity stripe, while the Mavericks only got to the line 17 times (14 of 17). All of the starters on both teams ended up scoring in double digits in game 1 as well.
The Mavs have to ensure they cover the 3-ball better as well. Houston shot 40% from deep (10 of 25). Jason Terry and Corey Brewer – two sharpshooters — scored seven of those 3-pointers.
Terry and Brewer are unlikely to attack the rim, so the Mavs have to ensure they cover these two guys on the perimeter. I thought Dallas did a great job at limiting Dwight Howard in game 1.
He was held to 5 rebounds, but Trevor Ariza and Terrance Jones combined for 20 rebounds. Dallas did win the rebounding battle (49-44) and they’ll need to do the same on Tuesday night.
The game plan is simple for the Mavericks. Stay out of foul trouble to keep the Rockets off the FT line and defend the perimeter better. If Dallas can do that they’ll cover and likely win the game.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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