Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg had something in common in midweek and one is betting on the Foals and the Wolves having similarities when they meet on the weekend.
Manchester City exposed Monchengladbach’s new dawn as a false one at the same time that Manchester United was extending Wolfsburg’s run without a win to three games in the midweek Champions League games. The truth is that neither Monchengladbach nor Wolfsburg is the force of last season and one always thought that the Foals were flattered by their German Bundesliga third position – they won a lot of their matches against the run of play.
One’s idea of the best bet in the eighth round of the German Bundesliga is both teams to score when Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg clash on Saturday. Monchengladbach’s defence was its greatest asset last term but the Foals have gone to pot at the back, failing to keep a clean sheet in any of its 10 games across three domestic and international competitions. Wolfsburg has scored in all bar one of its 11 matches across various tournaments, with the Wolves finding the back of the net against every side that they have encountered except the German Bundesliga’s most defence-oriented team, Ingolstadt.
Both of last season’s German Bundesliga blockbusters between Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg resulted in 1-0 home wins but times have changed – basically, the Foals are not the same side that they were last term. Odds of -149 about both Monchengladbach and Wolfsburg scoring in Saturday’s German Bundesliga game are simply too good to pass over.
The scheduling of the UEFA Europa League is problematic for teams and that is why one is keen to oppose Dortmund and Augsburg in their German Bundesliga matches against Bayern Munchen and Leverkusen, both of which will occur on Sunday.
Dortmund coach Thomas Tuchel is rightly angry that BVB will line up for what one could argue is the biggest game of the German Bundesliga season at a major disadvantage to Bayern Munchen. Tuchel has chosen to field a second-string side in Dortmund’s UEFA Europa League Group C match against PAOK on Thursday because he does not want his best players burnt out before they tackle Bayern Munchen on Sunday. Dortmund will have two days fewer than Bayern Munchen to prepare and BVB had to travel for its UEFA Europa League game, whereas Bayern played its UEFA Champions League match at home.
Bayern Munchen has won each of its last 10 games across all competitions and the deck has been stacked in its favour for Dortmund’s German Bundesliga visit to the Allianz Arena so one is picking Pep Guardiola’s team at odds of -161 with Marathonbet to increase its lead at the top of the ladder.
Finally, Leverkusen appeals at odds of -250 with BetVictor, to get the better of German Bundesliga struggler Augsburg because of their contrasting midweek programs.
Augsburg, which has beaten only horrible Hannover in the first seven rounds of the German Bundesliga, has to deal with Leverkusen’s high-pressing tactics off considerably less rest than its opponent. Augsburg’s UEFA Europa League Group L commitment versus Partizan on Thursday took place two days after Leverkusen’s UEFA Champions League Group E assignment against Barcelona. Even allowing for Leverkusen having to travel, Roger Schmidt’s side should be much fresher than Augsburg and one thinks that is significant given the style of play that the home team employs.
Leverkusen was little more than 10 minutes away from beating Barcelona at the Camp Nou on Tuesday and that form line is a lot better than anything on Augsburg’s resume this term.
Monchengladbach v Wolfsburg BTTS
3rd October 14:30 GMT
Bayern to beat Dortmund
4th October 16:30 GMT
Leverkusen to beat Augsburg
4th October 16:30 GMT