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This summer’s Copa America will be contested in Chile between the 11th of June and the 4th of July. It will be the 44th edition of the famous football tournament, and promises to be a thrilling month of top class football.
Uruguay are the current holders of the trophy, but we’ve already tipped Chile to have a good run on home soil, while Argentina and Brazil are never far away. The ten member teams from CONMEBOL and two invitees from CONCACAF, Mexico and Jamaica, are split into three groups of four where they play a round robin format, with the top two in each group plus the two best third-placed finishers progressing to the quarter-finals.
With less than three weeks until the start of the tournament, we’re looking at the group stage betting for some early value.
Group A features the hosts Chile, Mexico, Ecuador and Bolivia. Chile are the clear favourites to win the group, while the battle for second place looks to be between Ecuador and Mexico. Here are the best odds for the group winner:
Chile – -175 with Betvictor
Mexico – +700 with Betfair
Ecuador – +700 with Betvictor
Chile are worth backing on home soil despite the short price, and they are expected to make short work of the three opposing teams in the group stage. They had a decent World Cup, with the highlight the 2-0 win over Spain, and were probably a little unlucky to get knocked out by Brazil on penalties. They start their campaign against Ecuador, followed by a game against Mexico, and the final match against Bolivia.
Mexico have been in good form since Brazil 2014, winning six of their nine games after going out of the World Cup with defeat to Holland. They performed well in the group stage at the tournament, beating Cameroon and Croatia and holding the hosts to a 0-0 draw. They represent a very real danger to Chile, and will expect to make their way to the quarter finals.
Ecuador’s World Cup ended in disappointment despite victory over Honduras and a 0-0 draw with France, and they exited at the group stage. They’ve lost three of six matches since then, including a 1-0 reverse to Mexico, and they will need to overcome that rival to get second place. Bolivia make up the numbers in the group, but aren’t expected to make much impact.
Skybet offer -138 that Mexico achieve a top two finish in the group, and that also looks more than appealing.
Group B features World Cup finalist Argentina, current Copa America holders Uruguay, Paraguay and Jamaica. Argentina are the overall tournament favourites and on paper at least, have by far the best squad in the competition. They are impossible to back to win the group though, at very short odds. Equally they are difficult to oppose, and although Uruguay can boast the attacking talents of Suarez and Cavani, it’s hard to see them finishing above Argentina. By the same token, it’s difficult to see either of Paraguay or Jamaica having any say in the group, and both could easily depart at the first time of asking. Here are the odds for Group B if you fancy a flutter:
Argentina – -333 with Skybet
Uruguay – +400 with Betfair
The final group features Brazil, Colombia, Peru and Venezuela. This group is similar to Argentina’s group in that there are two teams who are clearly at the top of the market and expected to fill the top two positions. Here are the current odds for the winner of Group C:
Peru – +1800 with Skybet
Venezuela – +2000 with Paddy Power
Brazil stand out in this group and are worth backing at a short price to come out on top. Their only real opposition is Colombia, but Brazil have an excellent record against that rival, and should probably be a little shorter in this market. Brazil have won all eight games since the World Cup defeats to Germany and Holland on home soil, and they are back to their formidable best. They beat Colombia 2-1 during the tournament and haven’t lost to them since 1991. If they win again when the two meet on the 18th of June, that should seal the group. It’s easy to look back and say that Brazil had a poor World Cup, but they still reached the semi-finals, and the 7-1 humiliation to Germany was without Neymar or Silva – two players who make a massive difference to the Brazil set up.
Colombia have won six of their last seven games since the World Cup, the only one they didn’t win was a friendly immediately after the tournament – against Brazil. They have some very talented individuals in their squad such as Rodriguez and Cuadrado, and they should easily qualify for the knockout stages. If they were up against any other side in the group, they could represent a bit of value, but they seem to have an inferiority complex when it comes to their old adversary, and just can’t seem to get the better of them.
The other contenders in the group, Peru and Venezuela, face a tough task to get anything from the top two in this group, and they are probably already preparing for a battle for third place. However, with the top two third-placed finishers qualifying for the quarter-finals, they both have a chance of making it through and the do-or-die clash between the pair will take place on the 19th of June.
We’ll be looking at some more bets closer to the tournament, but for now we’re going with the strong bets that should give us a decent return by the end of the group stages.
Copa America, 11th June – 4th July 2015
To win Group A
Chile – -175 with Betvictor
To finish in the top two in Group A
Mexico – -138 with Skybet
To win Group B
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