Bank on Portuguese to Have More Corners Than Welsh


Real Madrid teammates Bale and Ronaldo go head-to-head in the Euro 2016 semi final.

It is difficult to bet on the result of the UEFA Euro 2016 semi-final between Portugal and Wales for any number of reasons. One thinks that Portugal is a superior side to Wales but the Portuguese have made the UEFA Euro 2016 last four without winning a game in normal time and they are so reliant on Cristiano Ronaldo that the Welsh will doubtless set up to limit the influence of the Real Madrid superstar. Wales will line up against Portugal without two of its key players, Ben Davies and Aaron Ramsey, so one cannot select the Welsh at their odds, either. It is a no-bet match when it comes to picking one of the three normal-time results.

The banker in Wednesday’s UEFA Euro 2016 semi-final between Portugal and Wales is the Portuguese to have more corner kicks than the Welsh.

Portugal has forced 39 corner kicks in its five UEFA Euro 2016 games, which is the most of the four semi-finalists. And none of the UEFA Euro 2016 last four has conceded fewer corner kicks than Portugal’s total of 13. So Portugal’s UEFA Euro 2016 corner-kick differential is plus 26, which is a million miles away from that of its semi-final opponent. Wales has taken just 17 corner kicks in its five UEFA Euro 2016 matches, giving up 30 corners in those games. One does not know how William Hill has reached the conclusion that its odds about Portugal having more corner kicks than Wales should be -227  because surely the Portuguese would get the better of Wales more than 69.44 per cent of the time.

UEFA has wiped the cards slate clean going into the Euro 2016 semi-finals and that has the potential to result in sudden-death games that feature a large number of yellow cards – any red card would earn its recipient a final ban. Over four and a half cards is trading at odds of -103  with 888Sport and that is one’s second selection for the UEFA Euro 2016 last-four encounter between Portugal and Wales.

Portugal has committed 71 fouls in its five UEFA Euro 2016 matches, which makes it one of the tournament’s most frequent offenders. Portugal, however, has collected only five UEFA Euro 2016 yellow cards, something that appears to be an anomaly based on its fouls data. Wales has committed 53 fouls and received eight yellow cards in its five UEFA Euro 2016 games. Jonas Eriksson, the Swedish millionaire, has cautioned a total of six players in his two UEFA Euro 2016 appointments but he is not afraid to brandish yellow cards in big matches, particularly in games where the gloves are off, so to speak. For example, Eriksson refereed this year’s UEFA Europa League final between Liverpool and Sevilla, booking eight players in the showpiece game.

For punters looking to strike an odds-against wager on the UEFA Euro 2016 semi-final between Portugal and Wales one’s suggestion is Wales captain Ashley Williams to collect a card at odds of +275  with Unibet. Williams picked up eight yellows in his 36 English Premier League appearances for Swansea last term so he is no stranger to referees taking his name, he will be one of the Wales defenders standing between Ronaldo and goal and, as an inspirational skipper, he may set the tone by crunching a Portugal player in the early stages. One understands that UEFA does not want any player to miss the Euro 2016 final due to the accumulation of two yellow cards across six matches but its amnesty going into the semi-finals may result in several cynical fouls.

Tips Summary

Portugal to Have Most Corners
Wednesday 6th July, 20:00 GMT
Odds:  -227

Over 4.5 Cards in the Match
Wednesday 6th July, 20:00 GMT
Odds:  -103

Ashley Williams to Receive a Card
Wednesday 6th July, 20:00 GMT
Odds:  +275

Euro 2016
Semi Final

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