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Lineker, Brown to Secure Wins at UFC Fight Night 154
Jake Nichols 2019-06-20 in MMA Tips
UFC Fight Night 154 goes down this Saturday, June 22, in the United States and we’re here to bring you all of the best odds and bets ahead of the stacked main card.
In the main event of the night, Chan Sung Jung will return after being knocked out by the incredible elbow from Yair Rodriguez in November last year. He’ll face Brazilian contender Renato Moicano in a featherweight contest. Make sure to read our Moicano vs. Korean Zombie best bets here before the weekend.
The rest of the main card is just as exciting, with a mix of fast-rising fighters as well as battle-tested veterans and contenders. Exciting fighters such as John Lineker and Rob Font are set to feature in this event, and we’ll make sure to break down each and every fight so that you’re equipped to beat the bookmakers this weekend.
John Lineker and Rob Font are set to battle in what should be a very exciting co-main event rematch in Greenville. Lineker has experienced mixed results of late, with a recent split-decision defeat to Cory Sandhagen ruining his chances of another run toward the top of the bantamweight division. That loss was enough to end his two-fight winning streak that included victories over Brian Kelleher and Marlon Vera.
Rob Font is the man taking on John Lineker this weekend and he’ll step in after defeating Sergio Pettis in a bantamweight contest late last year. Font has continually racked up wins against bantamweight competitors but has ultimately fallen short against the top contenders in the division such as Pedro Munhoz, Raphael Assuncao and John Lineker the first time they met.
The odds here are tighter than what we had initially suspected. Not because Lineker has already defeated Font, but he’s stylistically a very difficult matchup for Font, this time around as well.
Lineker is a pressure fighter who moves forward and unloads heavy combinations of punches to the head and body of his opponent. Font struggles under pressure and usually fights best when he can get his longer strikes happening. However, if Lineker smothers him and traps him against the cage, it should be a relatively easy night for Lineker is the judges’ score in favor of damage and not volume.
We’re expecting a better performance from Font this time around, but it still won’t be enough to defeat Lineker.
Bet on John Lineker to win 53/1001.53-1900.53-1.900.53 at Bovada
Bryan Barberena vs. Randy Brown
Saturday, June 22 – 10:30 pm (ET) / 2:30am (GMT)
Bryan Barberena returns for the first time since losing to Vicente Luque in a brilliant ‘Fight of the Year’ contender for 2019. Barberena and Luque traded heavy shots for three rounds but in the end it was Barberena who went down after knees and punches with just six seconds remaining in the final round. That defeat leaves Barberena at 2-3 in his last five fights as he steps into the cage in Greenville.
Randy Brown has the chance to bounce back to winning ways this weekend, as well. Brown enters this one after losing to Niko Price via a bizarre KO at UFC Fight Night 133 in July last year. Brown secured top position but Price hammered him with shots from the bottom and knocked him out. Before then, Brown had secured a win over Mickey Gall and had lost a unanimous decision to Belal Muhammad. He’s now finishing up a long camp and tiring preparation to face Barberena.
At these odds, Randy Brown makes for the smart bet. He’s a great, technical striker with good kicking technique, and Bryan Barberena’s defense leaves a lot to be desired.
We’re expecting Brown to piece up Barberena over time, but Barberena is a hard man to put away, so Brown will need to keep at it for the full three rounds.
Bet on Randy Brown to win: 23/103.30+2302.302.30-0.43 at BetOnline
Andrea Lee vs. Montana De La Rosa
Saturday, June 22 – 10:00 pm (ET) / 2:00am (GMT)
Andrea Lee looks to extend her six-fight winning streak and make it three in a row with the UFC when she takes on Montana De La Rosa in a women’s flyweight bout.
Lee is an impressive fighter who transitioned from Invicta FC and LFA in 2018. In May last year, Lee defeated Veronica Macedo via unanimous decision and then backed it up with another decision win against Ashlee Evans-Smith in February. She enters this fight as a moderate betting favorite again, but she’s up against tougher competition this time around.
Montana De La Rosa has made a statement in the division after three consecutive submission wins stretching from December 2017 to February this year. The 24-year-old has now defeated Christina Marks, Rachael Ostovich and then Nadia Kassem to earn a matchup with the highly-regarded Lee.
Andrea Lee is a deserving favorite here, but there’s still plenty of value for bettors.
Montana De La Rosa may have a wrestling/grappling advantage, especially with her great jiu-jitsu ability, but she’s going to need to find a way to get Andrea Lee down to the mat. That’s no easy task for women in the division considering Lee’s strength and clinch techniques, too.
At range, expect Lee to beat up De La Rosa with heavy strikes. We’ve backed Lee getting the job done inside the distance before and she hasn’t come through, but this could be the time she does it. Fortunately, the “to win” market is still quite good.
Bet on Andrea Lee to win: 1/21.50-2000.50-2.000.50 at BetOnline
Kevin Holland vs. Alessio Di Chirico
Saturday, June 22 – 9:30 pm (ET) / 1:30am (GMT)
Kevin Holland gets his chance to make it three in a row with the UFC when he meets the rising Alessio Di Chirico on this main card.
Holland impressed on Dana White’s Contender Series last year and eventually was called up to fight light heavyweight title contender Thiago Santos at UFC 227. Despite losing a unanimous decision, Holland entertained and Dana White and the UFC looked forward to bringing him back for more. He’s since picked up consecutive wins over John Phillips and Gerald Meerschaert.
Italy’s Alessio Di Chirico initially struggled to get going in the UFC after he lost two of his first three bouts to the likes of Bojan Velickovic and Eric Spicely, who are both no longer with the promotion. However, he’s started to turn things around recently with back-to-back wins against Oluwale Bamgbose and Julian Marquez to earn a winning record overall with the promotion since he joined in 2016.
Kevin Holland has been winning fights but that doesn’t mean you should jump to the conclusion that he’s actually a decent fighter. Holland is unpredictable and relatively wild, he’ll often give his opponent every chance to defeat him. As a betting favorite, it’s hard to get excited about backing Holland in this one, especially after fighting to a split decision with Gerald Meerschaert.
Alessio Di Chirico has all of the tools that could cause Holland a lot of trouble. A well-rounded fighter, Di Chirico can take this fight to the mat if he wants. He may be disadvantaged for as long as this one remains standing, but that doesn’t mean he’s without a chance. At these odds, it’s worth having a punt on the underdog.
Bet on Alessio Di Chirico to win: 37/202.85+1851.851.85-0.54 at Mybookie
Ashley Yoder vs. Syuri Kondo
Saturday, June 22 – 9:00 pm (ET) / 1:00am (GMT)
Ashley Yoder recently picked up her first win with the UFC and she now looks to move to 2-3 with the promotion when she faces Syuri Kondo in a strawweight bout this weekend.
Yoder’s three losses came by way of decision, with the one to Mackenzie Dern going to split decision in March 2018. Her win over Amanda Cooper was a split decision, too, keeping up with Yoder’s history of split decision outcomes in her career so far.
Previously undefeated before joining the UFC, Syuri Kondo has now lost two consecutive bouts and is in desperate need of a victory at UFC Greenville. Kondo was rolled by Poliana Botelho in just 33 seconds at UFC Fight Night 129 before then losing a unanimous decision to Xiaonan Yan at UFC Fight Night 141.
Tight odds here for a fight that could genuinely favor either fighter on the night.
Yoder has some advantages, particularly if this fight is to hit the mat. Kondo’s best pathway to victory seems to be walking Yoder down and tagging her with strikes. Yoder’s going to need to answer that forward pressure with takedown attempts and eventually secure one if she wishes to change the course of the fight.
Yoder is the more well-rounded fighter with a grappling edge, and that counts for something in this one. Take the odds on Yoder.
Bet on Ashley Yoder to win: 17/201.85-1170.85-1.170.85 at BetOnline
Jake is a mixed martial arts reporter from Australia. At SBO.net, Jake uses his industry knowledge to uncover exceptional betting opportunities and share them with readers before the bookmakers can adjust their lines.
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