If you’re a fan of Andrei Arlovski, I can only imagine it has been a heartbreaking eighteen months. After being stopped by Stipe Miocic back at UFC 195, he has since gone on to be stopped by Alistair Overeem, Josh Barnett and Francis N’Gannou as well. Prior to this losing streak, Arlovski had managed a four-win streak in the UFC with wins over Brendan Schaub, Antonio Silva, Travis Browne and Frank Mir.
Marcin Tybura is turning heads. He’s now knocked out his last two opponents, Luis Henrique and Viktor Pesta, and now looks to climb the rankings even further. Tybura has an interesting arsenal of weapons for a big guy, including a swift lead left leg and somewhat of a karate chop for his right hand.
This is a very well matched fight; respect to the UFC for this one. It’s perfect for Andrei Arlovski because if he loses here, he really should consider hanging up the gloves. It’s also an excellent opportunity for us to see how Marcin Tybura goes with a renowned opponent.
I don’t believe that Tybura is as scary of a prospect as Francis N’Gannou is, who finished Arlovski in just 93 seconds. Yes, Tybura has some powerful and fast kicks, but Arlovski is a very capable stand-up fighter.
It was long ago, but Arlovski smashed Travis Browne who fights in a reasonably similar style to Tybura. Arlovski found the perfect opportunity to counter over the top of a Browne kick with a punch that changed the course of the fight.
While it’s likely that one hard shot from Tybura puts Arlovski away for good, I can also see Arlovski taking this one the distance against the 31-year-old Polish fighter.
Andrei Arlovski understandably opened up as a moderate underdog in this contest as bettors will surely shy away from the older and declining veteran in favour of the rising heavyweight athlete.
Can see this one going either way and will be taking the value with Arlovski to win.
Dong Hyun Kim vs. Colby Covington
Colby Covington’s wish is granted and he is given an opportunity against a top-10 opponent in the welterweight division, Dong Hyun Kim. These two will battle it out in Singapore for UFC Fight Night 111.
‘Stun Gun’ Dong Hyun Kim is currently enjoying a three-win streak in the UFC and a win here against Covington could potentially move him closer to securing a fight with a big name in the welterweight division. Kim’s last loss was to Tyron Woodley back in 2014 but has since defeated Josh Burkman, Dominic Waters and Tarec Saffiedine.
Record: 11-1-0 Height: 5’11” (180cm) Reach: 72.0″ (183cm) Gym: American Top Team
Dong Hyun Kim is a fairly wild fighter. He comes forward with lunging strikes that would normally leave a fighter exposed. Kim is excellent at moving his head off the center line when striking as to avoid any natural counter shots. In the clinch and against the cage, Kim is at his best when using his judoka experience and tripping or throwing opponents to the mat. By round three, Kim is often heavily fatigued and really starts to slow down.
Covington is a very capable wrestler and I’m excited to see how his grappling skills matchup against Dong Hyun Kim. Covington was able to take Barberena down to the mat repeatedly but had trouble keeping him there. Despite wrestling for the majority of his fights, Covington manages to keep a high pace through all fifteen minutes.
Dong Hyun Kim’s wild striking will leave plenty of opportunities for Colby to duck underneath and shoot for double-leg takedowns. I can see him out-wrestling Kim for the three rounds.
*16 June update*
The betting odds for this fight have swung wildly in favour of Colby Covington. Since release, Covington has reduced in price by 35% and Dong Hyun Kim increased by 47%.
While my prediction remains that Covington can grind out a decision victory, these odds are ridiculous and Kim shouldn’t be this disregarded.
I highly recommend backing Dong Hyun Kim to win by KO/TKO now that the line has moved. You can find 13/114.00+130013.0013.00-0.08 at BetVictor.
Tarec Saffiedine vs. Rafael dos Anjos
Tarec Saffiedine (#11) welcomes Rafael dos Anjos, a former UFC lightweight champion, to the welterweight division at UFC Fight Night 111 in Singapore.
Rafael dos Anjos’ near-death weight cutting experience before the Eddie Alvarez fight was well publicised. I make the safe assumption that fighting at welterweight is the best thing for dos Anjos and that we will see a much more comfortable and composed version of the fighter.
For Rafael dos Anjos, he needs to push the pace and control the center of the octagon. He’s at his best when he does this and looked superb against Tony Ferguson when controlling the flow of the fight.
Tarec Saffiedine is at his best when at range and has room to operate. He’s too often found his back against the cage in recent fights against Kim and Story. Most importantly, he needs to counter Rafael dos Anjos early and often. Ferguson controlled the fight when he punished dos Anjos with counter strikes.
I’m still a firm believer that Rafael dos Anjos is one of the best out there right now and can make a serious run for the welterweight title. I see dos Anjos scoring a decision victory against Saffiedine at UFC Fight Night 111 in Singapore.
RDA opened as a serious favourite. We’ll boost our odds by taking Rafael dos Anjos to win by decision.
Andrei Arlovski vs. Marcin Tybura Andrei Arlovski to Win
Saturday 17th June, 14:00 GMT
Odds: 36/173.12+2122.122.12-0.47 – Marathon
Dong Hyun Kim vs. Colby Covington Dong Hyun Kim to win by KO/TKO (16 June update)
Saturday 17th June, 13:30 GMT
Odds: 12/113.00+120012.0012.00-0.08 – BetVictor
Tarec Saffiedine vs. Rafael dos Anjos Rafael dos Anjos to win by Decision
Saturday 17th June, 13:00 GMT
Odds: 19/201.95-1050.95-1.050.95 – Bet365
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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