5.15 Nottingham – Ze King
Chris Wall’s 6 year old Manduro gelding did the business for us two weeks ago, and we think he has a solid chance of following up again off a 2lb lower mark on turf.
Had been a 15 raced maiden going into the last contest at Kempton over 8f, but had shown ability and consistency in most of his runs. Dropped back in trip and ridden handily seemed to eek out the necessary improvement to get the victory, although he wasn’t doing too much when hitting the front, suggesting there could be more to come.
The main concern is the fact that the horse hasn’t shown his best form on turf and is unplaced in 5 starts on grass. With that being said, most of those were at the start of his career and over further trips. He races off a lower mark and could capitalise on it.
Chris Wall does very well when using claiming jockeys on his older horses; 41/228 (17.98%) for £81.36 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.59 and Samuel Clarke who partnered the horse last time out, rides again.
8.40 Hamilton – Hello Beautiful
Selling handicaps are not usually our first port of call at SBO Racing, but we think we have found a good bet in the form of the Brian Ellison trained Hello Beautiful. The Captain Rio filly may have won just 1 race from 18 starts, but this represents her easiest task for a long time, with the rest of the field all being low level performers.
After starting her career in fairly promising fashion, heading towards being a 70 rated sprinter, something went wrong and Hello Beautiful’s form tailed off. She started the 2015 season poorly but appears to have been somewhat revitalised in her last two performances, finishing 4th and 2nd respectively. The last of those runs was in Class 5 contest and this 0-60 Class 6 Selling Handicap represents a significant drop in grade.
Brian Ellison is a shrewd operator and his record in sellers is nothing to be sniffed at, especially when his runners are fancied. When they start +500 or shorter, they are 39/81 (48.15%) for £36.76 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.55.
Ya Boy Sir looks the chief threat on form. Returned from a long lay-off to score a big upset when winning at 51 at Hamilton. Had been off for nearly 4 years, so there is always the risk of the horse bouncing, and regardless, our selection’s recent form is better than that of Ya Boy Sir’s win.
Tips Summary (25th June)
5.15 Nottingham – Ze King Win – +500 – SkyBet
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