Windforpower to breeze home at Beverley

2015-05-12

3.25 Beverley – Windforpower

Tracy Waggott’s Windforpower is the sort of horse you love or absolutely hate. Admirably consistent, the horse has won 9 of 61 races, and has come second or third in a further 22. Many could be forgiven for thinking that the son of Red Clubs saves something for himself, as he has finished in the places in over a third of lifetime starts, and he has also never scored by more than half a length. The horse really takes some knowing, and luckily jockey Jacob Butterfield has ridden him on last 3 starts, with form figures of 132 inspiring confidence.

Has the benefit of stall 2 and is very likely to get cover on the inside rail. Will track the leaders and be delivered late, and is likely to be travelling smoothly 2 furlongs from home. His winning chance depends on getting the gaps and not hitting the front too soon. Trainer Tracy Waggott seems a shrewd cookie, and she has a superb record when turning her runners out within 7 days of their previous race; 36/221 (16.29%) for a LSP of £107.88, giving an A/E of 1.56.

With such a high place strike rate, combined with the fact that the horse is in form and has a good draw, he looks a very solid each way proposition at odds of 4/1 5.00 +400 4.00 4.00 -0.25

9.05 Chelmsford – Mystery Drama

Alan King’s Mystery Drama looks a fair each-way alternative in the concluding race at Chelmsford on Tuesday night. The dual purpose Hernando mare has shown she handles the all-weather surface, winning 2 from 5 starts under artificial conditions, and a break may have freshened up Alan King’s runner.

Sir Mark Prescott’s favourite High Secret has been installed at 7/4 2.75 +175 1.75 1.75 -0.57 , and although he is unexposed and could well be better this season, he strikes as a big horse who may improve with racing and could be hard to get fit at home. The drop back in trip is also not a positive, and while he is respected, the value lies elsewhere.

With 8 runners and current odds of 5/1 6.00 +500 5.00 5.00 -0.20 , Mystery Drama looks the perfect each way bet. Could still be on a very fair mark on the all-weather and tactical speed could play a role here.

Tips Summary (12th May)

3.25 Beverley – Windforpower EW – 4/1 5.00 +400 4.00 4.00 -0.25 – BetVictor, PaddyPower, WilliamHill

9.05 Chelmsford – Mystery Drama EW – 5/1 6.00 +500 5.00 5.00 -0.20 – Bet365, Boylesports, Ladbrokes