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3.15 Musselburgh – Rodrigo De Torres
Garry Moss got a great tune out of his new recruit Rodrigo De Torres on stable debut, and there is a good chance that the 8 year old Bahamian Bounty gelding can follow up.
Drawn stall 4 is ideal for a horse who likes to make the running, and there is plenty of reason to believe that there is more to come from this horse. He was rated as high as 94 two years ago, and races of just 69 today. Had been regressing, but the change of scenery seems to have done the job and with the cheek pieces retained, he really should be favourite.
The market leader comes in the form of the unexposed Mambo Fever. David C Griffiths’ runner went off a hot favourite last time out at Haydock, but could only manage second, and the way she hung late in the day was not encouraging. Was held up last time out and could experience trouble in running if those tactics are adopted from the 1 draw.
With a clearer run likely and with the back class, Rodrigo De Torres represents good value at 3/1 4.00 +300 3.00 3.00 -0.33
7.10 Chelmsford – Stocking
After being roundly criticised by trainers and jockey alike, Chelmsford racecourse eventually took remedial action and have worked extensively on their all-weather surface. The improvements have been heralded as a success by jockeys who have ridden the track, and in the 7.10, Roger Varian’s Stocking looks potentially well treated off a mark of 78.
The 3 year old filly has only won once from 9 lifetime starts, but that does not tell the whole story. She has only raced on artificial surfaces twice and has a win and a second from those starts, so seems to prefer running on the all-weather. After winning a Wolverhampton maiden, she went off favourite back on turf at Haydock, but disappointed, finishing in 3rd place. Reverts to the all-weather tonight and that on its own could yield further improvement.
The Acclamation filly is taking on her elders and that would be a concern with most runners at this time of year, as older horses tend to hold the edge in sprints. However, Roger Varian does superbly with his 3 year old runners in 3 year old+ handicaps when they did not win last time out and have been off for 8 weeks or less; 33/112 (29.46%) for £66.56 LSP, A/E 1.49.
The only negative is stall 10, but with Bertie Blu Boy in the race, there will be a tonne of pace on so it should be run honestly and it could set up for Stocking, who is likely to finish the race strongly.
Tips Summary (21st July)