Toofi to Be Too Sharp for Rivals

11th-sept

1.45 Sandown – Jack Nevison

An unfancied 34.0 shot on debut, Jack Nevison belied his odds by running a blinder, eventually finishing third in a hot Newbury maiden. With that run under his belt, he should be extremely difficult to beat over the stiff 5 furlongs at Sandown.

Henry Candy knows the time of day with his juveniles and therefore the fact that his horse ran so well on debut despite the low market expectation is extremely encouraging. Furthermore, Candy’s 2 year olds learn a bundle from their first racecourse experience and the drop back in trip should be right in his favour. Showed bright early speed at Newbury, before fading late on, and that race has plenty of substance about it, with the winner now rated in the 100’s. Sandown has a stiff climb to the line and conditions look absolutely optimal.

There aren’t really many big yards represented in this race, and Southern Belle looks the main threat based on form. Ran a great race on debut over course and distance, but didn’t build on that second time up at Lingfield. The switch back to turf and return to the venue where the filly ran so well should stimulate a return to form, but she lacks the scope of the selection.

4.15 Doncaster – Toofi

The Coopers Marquees Handicap at Doncaster is a mouth-watering sprint over the unusual distance of 6.5 furlongs. None of the field are last time out winners, but conditions look perfect for Roger Varian’s Toofi to take the bull by the horns and regain the winning thread. The 4 year old Henrythenavigator gelding didn’t fire last time out, but his penultimate run in a monstrous field at Goodwood gives him an outstanding form chance.

In an 11 race career to date, Toofi has just the solitary victory to his name, and in reality, he should have scored more frequently. He has filled the second place berth on four occasions, which suggests that there may be some temperament issues with the horse, but he clearly has bags of potential. All of his best runs have come over 6 furlongs in big fields and conditions should be ideal at Doncaster, with plenty of pace likely. The extra half furlong should also be in his favour, as the horse has finished very well over the bare 6 furlongs, but looked a little short of stamina come the line over 7 furlongs.

Shore Step is the consistent runner in the field. Mick Channon’s likeable 5 year old has finished in the first three in 11 of his 19 career starts and unlike the selection, his attitude definitely cannot be called into question. Could still have room for improvement and should be in the first 3, but maybe lacks the class of the selection.

Tips Summary (11th September)

1.45 Sandown – Jack Nevison – +175 BetVictor, PaddyPower

4.15 Doncaster – Toofi – +300 Ladbrokes, Coral, PaddyPower

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