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7.15 Chelmsford – Marmalad
Tom Dascombe sends just two runners down to Chelmsford and Marmalad looks to be the stable’s best chance. A winner on his penultimate start, the son of Duke Of Marmalade returns to claiming company, and his odds of 2/1 3.00 +200 2.00 2.00 -0.50 look to be fair.
Marmalad definitely appears to prefer the all-weather to turf. He is 2/10 with a further 3 places on artificial surfaces, and he is generally consistent on the surface. Was very heavily backed on penultimate start at Lingfield in a claimer and bolted up by 5 lengths at a shade of odds on. Returned to handicap company last time out and was again strongly backed, but perhaps the drop back to 7 furlongs at Wolverhampton caught him out, and it seemed a little on the sharp side. The return to a mile and a claimer is very likely to suit and Richard Kingscote knows the horse well. All Marmalad’s best performances have come when ridden forcefully and his jockey is an adept pilot from the front. Has been given 40 days off since last run and is weighted best in this field, so appears to have everything in his favour.
The second favourite is Steady Major, a horse who comes from the red hot Simon Dow stable. The yard have sent out 6 winners from 19 runners in the last two weeks and everything they send out at the moment needs to be respected. The horse has 2 wins and 2 places from 4 starts on the all-weather and sire has a preference for artificial surfaces. If this trip were over 10 furlongs, he would be the selection, but the bare mile on a fast course like Chelmsford is not likely to be ideal. Will be finishing strongly, but whether he has the speed for the trip has to be called into question.
7.45 Chelmsford – Spring Loaded
Spring Loaded sluiced up in a race at Kempton last week and under a 6lb penalty, he has a fantastic chance of following up at Chelmsford. Due to go up a further 3lbs, he should be able to take advantage of being well in, and from a good draw in stall 2, he is a worthy favourite.
After finishing 2nd of 16 in a strong handicap at Ascot, Spring Loaded unsurprisingly went off well backed joint favourite at Kempton. Made a mockery of his mark, tracking the leaders before bursting through and winning by just over 3 lengths. Won going away that day, suggesting the horse had plenty of improvement left.
Likes to track leaders, so stall 2 is a good draw, and the straight at Chelmsford tends to give runners a fair chance.
Tips Summary (15th October)