At Sports Betting Online, we rarely select bets from nursery races – however the 2.15, 5 furlong race at Brighton looks to offer some value, and Secret Clause is the selection.
Michael Appleby’s 2 year old son of Sakhee’s Secret has had just 4 starts, and did not disgrace himself of nursery debut at Southwell last time out. Had previously shown very little, but based on run last time out, the mark of 53 looks workable.
Showed up well for a long way at Southwell but seemed to lack a turn of foot as they quickened. Is running over 5 furlongs 59 yards this time, so will have a bit of extra yardage to get going. The race is very weak and favourite Break Free looks far from infallible. The Oasis Dream filly disappointed last time out and although she is making her handicap debut, she has to give our selection 5lbs.
5.10 Newbury – Clowance One
The 12 furlong 3 year+ maiden at Newbury is an intriguing contest, and pits a highly tried and exposed runner who has shown a good level of form, against a once raced horse who doesn’t have the same level of form, but has potential. Here at Sports Betting Online, we are plumping for the latter, in the hope that Clowance One can improve past Bellajeu and score at the second time of asking.
Clowance One made his debut in a very hot Newbury maiden, and went off a relatively unfancied 14/115.00+140014.0014.00-0.07 shot. After tracking the leaders throughout, he was tapped for toe and experience as the pace quickened, and was eventually beaten 5 lengths into third. That race has worked out very well with the market principles who fought out the finish that day since going on to compete well in much better company (winner now rated 108 and the second 97). Roger Charlton’s runner clearly wasn’t expected to win on debut and he will be much sharper this time round. Has the benefit of that run and steps up to 12 furlongs which should suit on pedigree (dam is by strong stayer Montjeu).
The favourite Bellajeu is from the Ralph Beckett yard. She was a thrice raced maiden when heading into a listed contest at Lingfield. A second place finish elevated her mark from 74 to 98, but that may well flatter her. She since went on to be stuffed in The Oaks (to be expected), but has also been beaten when sent off odds on for a maiden at Chester. She is the clear form pick on that listed second but it would be a surprise if she were able to win off a mark of 95 if put into handicap company. At similar odds, we like the unexposed horse with greater potential to progress over this trip.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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