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Secret Bird to Fly Past Exposed Rivals

October 6, 2015


6.40 Kempton – Peppering

The 1 mile fillies’ maiden at Kempton looks an intriguing contest with some 2 year old females who may be fairly useful next year. There is a strong market leader in the form of the William Haggas trained Wrapped. Although the daughter of Iffraaj has the best form in the field and is highly regarded, her odds are cramped, and the Charlie Appleby’s Peppering looks a value alternative. A once raced daughter of Bernandini, Appleby’s filly put in an eye-catching debut at Kempton and the step up in trip should suit.

Charlie Appleby tends to introduce his good 2 year olds at either Kempton or Newmarket, so it was slightly surprising that Peppering went off at odds of 9.00Bet €100 to win €9008/1Bet £100 to win £900+800Bet $100 to win $9008.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$9008.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp900-0.1250Bet RM100 to win RM900 for her debut over 7 furlongs. The market weakness can perhaps be attributed to her greenness and the inadequacy of the trip. After showing her inexperience mid-race by running around, she got outpaced before staying on well towards the finish. That experience should prove invaluable, and the step up in trip should also bring out plenty of improvement. Kevin Stott, a top class 3lb claimer takes over from James Doyle and she really should go close.

As well as Peppering and the favourite Wrapped, the Hugo Palmer trained Nessita looks to have a good chance on her debut form figure. However, that run was over 8.5 furlongs at Leicester (a much stiffer trip), and the drop back in distance on Kempton’s tight track is unlikely to suit as well.

9.10 Kempton – Secret Bird

Dean Ivory does very well with his young sprinters and he has the 3 year old market leader Secret Bird in a very winnable 0-65 Class 6 contest at Kempton. A winner on his handicap debut at Windsor, the son of Arcano has scope to be better than this grade and odds of 4.00Bet €100 to win €4003/1Bet £100 to win £400+300Bet $100 to win $4003.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$4003.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp400-0.3333Bet RM100 to win RM400 seem very reasonable.

After two inauspicious opening efforts at big odds, something must have clicked, as Secret Bird went off a favourite for his third run at Chepstow. Put in a much improved run, but was narrowly denied. Made amends for that at Windsor off an opening mark of 58, and has been raised just 5lbs to a workable mark of 63. Clearly wasn’t the fastest developing horse, but is now improving with each start. Stall 6 is reasonable over the 6 furlongs at Kempton and he is likely to sit handy tracking the leaders before being sent on late in the day.

The rivals are generally an exposed bunch, with Ben Hall probably the main competition. A most performer on turf, Ruth Carr’s son of Bushranger has proved to be a different proposition on artificial surfaces, winning twice and placing twice from seven starts. Has had plenty of runs though and this is probably his level.

Tips Summary (6th October)

6.40 Kempton – Peppering – 7.00Bet €100 to win €7006/1Bet £100 to win £700+600Bet $100 to win $7006.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$7006.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp700-0.1667Bet RM100 to win RM700 Bet365, PaddyPower, BetVictor

9.10 Kempton – Secret Bird – 4.00Bet €100 to win €4003/1Bet £100 to win £400+300Bet $100 to win $4003.00Bet HK$100 to win HK$4003.00Bet Rp100 to win Rp400-0.3333Bet RM100 to win RM400 Bet365, Coral, WilliamHill

  • Ben Hall
  • Charlie Appleby
  • Dean Ivory
  • Hugo Palmer
  • Kempton
  • Nessita
  • Peppering
  • Secret Bird
  • Wrapped

    About the author

    Eric Roberts
    Eric Roberts

    Sports Journalist

    Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.