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1:10 Southwell – Razin’ Hell
Razin’ Hell made short work of his rivals last week over course and distance, and under a 6lb penalty, he rates a really solid bet to follow up. The horse may be a short priced favourite, but he still could represent some value as an unexposed performer who has already shown a predilection for Southwell’s fibresand surface.
John Balding’s 5 year old gelding has a great record on the all-weather, 5 wins from 12 starts, with a further 4 places. On his penultimate start, over 5 furlongs at Southwell, the son of Byron was predictably a little rusty. He was returning from a 6 month absence and was running over a slightly inadequate trip. That effort blew away the cobwebs and last time out the horse had no trouble in dispatching his rivals over 6 furlongs at Southwell. Likes to race close to the pace which is usually an advantage at Southwell, and at the age of 5, he could have plenty more improvement as a sprinter.
Sartori is another last time out winner who scored over today’s course and distance when last seen. That race was a Class 6 contest though, and it seems strange that connections did not try to follow up quickly, with the horse since off the track for 4 weeks. Hasn’t got the scope of the selection but is a decent performer in his own right.
6:55 Kempton – Kalamata
Kalamata did almost everything wrong when winning last time out at Wolverhampton, and the daughter of Sir Percy has tonnes of potential, especially now stepped up in trip. Again, she is a short priced favourite, but in reality, Roger Varian’s 3 year old filly could be in a different league to her rivals and she looks a good bet.
Clearly a slowly maturing type, Kalamata went off big prices for her first 3 starts over what were inadequate trips. Was allotted an official rating of 58 as a result of those less than flashy performances, and the money poured in for the well treated filly on her first voyage into handicap company. Had to be ridden along at various stages of that run and still looked green as grass, but eventually the penny started to drop and she eventually won by a narrow margin. Pedigree suggests that a step up in trip is very likely to yield further improvement, and Varian likes his runners to improve with racing. There are a few other last time out winners in the field, but nothing with the potential of Kalamata and with normal improvement, she should score.
Tips Summary (10th February)
1:10 Southwell – Razin’ Hell – 163/100 2.63 +163 1.63 1.63 -0.61 PaddyPower