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1.50 Lingfield – Ragner
Lingfield’s 10 furlong 3 year old maiden brings our first bet of the day, and the David Simcock trained Ragner looks a worthy favourite in an interesting event. The son of New Approach shaped with definite promise when finishing second on debut, and with that experience under his belt, he really should be able to go one better.
David Simcock has a moderate strike rate with his first time out 3 year olds. They are rarely fully wound up at the first time of asking, and if they are half fancied, they are normally strong in the betting. Ragner went off an unfancied 15.0 shot, and put in an eye-catching performance over what was, in reality, too sharp a trip (8 furlongs). He wasn’t knocked about that day, and although beaten 5 lengths by the winner, suggested that he would be one to follow next time out. The step up in trip and racecourse experience could prove invaluable, and he would have a great chance even based on the bare form of the debut run.
There are a few interesting newcomers, and a more experienced rival in the form of the John Gosden trained Cachao. Thrice raced, the son of New Approach has disappointed so far, and connections reach for the blinkers. Could have the desired effect, but bare form isn’t great and horse clearly has a mind of his own.
5.45 Wolverhampton – Glan Y Gors
Jamie Spencer rides our first selection for David Simcock, and the pair team up again several hours later and a couple of hours north at Dunstall Park, Wolverhampton. Their 4 year old High Chaparral gelding was very unlucky in defeat last time out and his come from behind style is perfect for Spencer, who loves to ride horses patiently.
After a surprise debut success (at odds of +2500 ), Glan Y Gors didn’t really go on, and he was tried over a variety of trips. Was stepped up to 2miles last time out and the hood was reapplied. It seems to have a positive effect and the horse travelled very smoothly, before being stuck behind a wall of runners as the race unfolded. With a clear run it would be very difficult to argue that he would not have won that day, and although the gelding is 3lbs higher, he still remains unexposed and well handicapped over staying distances.
Spencer can sit and wait and make the drive north worthwhile.
Tips Summary (29th January)
1.50 Lingfield – Ragner – +150 Bet365
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