Plenty of Scope for Improvement for Swift Response
Eric Roberts 2015-08-04 in Horse Racing Tips
2.00 Salisbury – Swift Response
Dal Harraild looked very promising when finishing 4th on debut and as a result is the odds on favourite for the opening maiden at Salisbury on Tuesday. However his price looked a little cramped, and with some other interesting runners in the field, he is passed over. Instead, the Sir Michael Stoute runner Swift Response looks like the value in the race, available at odds of 12/113.00+120012.0012.00-0.08. The Japanese bred runner may have only finished 8th on debut, but there looks to be plenty of scope for improvement.
Sir Michael Stoute rarely has them revved up first time of asking (unless the market indicates they are fancied) and his well-bred son of Hat Trick went off 11.0 on debut at Lingfield. Was clueless early and outpaced around the tight Surrey track, but did make some late headway that day. The experience will not be lost on the horse and the switch to turf and a galloping 7 furlongs should see the horse in a very different light.
The veteran Newmarket trainer has a fantastic record with his second time out 2 year olds who have been off for 15-21 days; 29/72 (40.28%) for £7.11 LSP, A/E 1.23. Outside of the front two in the market, the race appears to be wide open, and Swift Response provides some good each way value.
8.05 Ripon – Duke Street
Duke Street has won 4 of his last 5 races (including his last 3 starts), and still looks to have more room to improve as a stayer. Is second favourite as Sir Mark Prescott also has an unexposed stayer, but at the odds, the Mark Johnston runner is the pick.
Had been running very poorly but then stepped up on form when switched to the all-weather over 12 furlongs 5 starts back. After a fourth placed finish at Brighton, he reverted to winning ways, winning next 3 races, and improved with each run as he was stepped up in trip. Has made all in 3 of last 4 wins and seems to be a real grinder who has a good attitude.
Mark Johnston does very well with 3 year olds in 3 year old+ handicaps over 12 furlongs+; 193/849 (22.73%) for £229.38 LSP, giving an A/E 1.27. Again outside the front two in the market, the contest seems to be fairly uncompetitive, and odds of 11/43.75+2752.752.75-0.36 about Duke Street seem more than fair.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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