3.55 Wolverhampton – Pecking Order
In a race where the market is dominated by two short priced horses, Pecking Order could potentially make a good value each way bet on debut. James Fanshawe is 3/15 with debutants at the Midlands track, and his filly may well be overpriced at +800
A daughter of Fastnet Rock, Pecking Order is well bred. Although she should get further in future, the 9.5 furlongs trip seems fine for debut. James Fanshawe has a great record with his all-weather runners in the Summer months of June-August; 43/201 (21.39%) for £20.43 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.37
The market is dominated by Amazing Speed from the powerful Saeed Bin Suroor yard, and Althania from the equally strong John Gosden stable. Both horses have shown a fair level of form with Amazing Speed in particular doing well finishing second in handicap company. With that being said, the two fillies have had 9 runs in total between them and are yet to score. There is very little strength in depth in the rest of the field and the 9 runners is perfect for an each way bet on Pecking Order.
4.25 Wolverhampton – Tropicana Bay
Roger Varian’s 3 year old filly Tropicana Bay faces probably her easiest task to date and is justifiably a reasonably short priced favourite for the 7 furlong fillies handicap at Wolverhampton. She was narrowly denied last time out at Brighton when starting as the market leader, and can make amends on this sharper track.
The daughter of Oasis Dream was inclined to race a little keenly last time out and that probably took its toll in the latter part of the race. The third from that race has since gone on to win which gives the form some substance.
Encouragement can be gleaned from Roger Varian’s record under these conditions. When he saddles 3 year old runners in 3 year old+ handicap company when his runners did not win last time out and have been off for 8 weeks or less, they do very well; 32/107 (29.91%) for £68.58 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.52
From stall 7 she should be able to tuck in behind the leaders and at odds of +225 , appears to have a great chance of getting her head infront.
Tips Summary (7th July)
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