Paul Midgley’s 2 year old Mister Mischief ran a good race on debut, showing plenty of ability in the process. In a weaker contest, he can put his experience to good use, and looks the one to beat. Even at the odds of 9/43.25+2252.252.25-0.44, there appears to be some value in his price.
The son of Mafki was not totally unfancied on debut, and ran well, handling the soft ground well and finishing just behind a good benchmark. Paul Midgley doesn’t often have many decent 2 year olds, but this one could be reasonable. Has stall 6 and is likely to bounce out and make the most of his experience.
The main market rivals come in the form of the Eve Johnson Houghton trained Fabulous Darling and Richard Fahey’s Piccardo. The former raced on very fast ground on debut and has to prove that she is as effective on soft, while the latter is from a yard who don’t have a great record with their juveniles at the course.
3.10 Newbury – Pastoral Player
16 runner handicaps aren’t usually our favourite contests for punting here at SBO Racing, but Hughie Morrison’s last time out winner Pastoral Player is in rude health and looks to be overpriced here on the back of a 5lb rise for his success at Goodwood.
Hughie Morrison’s runner had been running fairly consistently before scoring at Goodwood, and it was the manner of his victory that suggested there could be more to come. A hold up performer, he bided his time and then produced a strong late challenge, to fend off 17 rivals. Charlie Bennett took the ride that day and the promising 7lb claimer keeps the mount. Hughie Morrison has a superb record when using 7lb claimers; 36/189 (19.05%) for £123 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.67.
The only concern with Hughie Morrison’s runner is the ground, as he has never won on anything softer than good to soft. With that being said, the son of Pastoral Pursuits has put in some sound efforts when the underfoot conditions are slow.
Withernsea is the favourite and has sound claims. He ran well in a Class 2 race last time out and is a previous winner on soft ground. Mujassam is another who needs to be respected after bolting up from the front last time out. Both are around half the price of our selection though, and Pastoral Player is the value.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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