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1.35 Newmarket – Quiet Reflection
The contours of Newmarket’s course don’t suit every horse, and that is the only concern with Quiet Reflection. Aside from that, she looks like an absolute good thing in the Dubai Cornwallis Stakes (Group 3) and even at a shade of odds on, represents betting value.
The dogs were barking for Karl Burke’s 2 year old daughter of Showcasing on debut at Hamilton, and she duly bolted up by 5 lengths, showing a great deal of promise in the process. Deserved her place in a Group 2 next time out at York, but like many horses, she did not show her true form, eventually finishing 5th of 9. That run was over 6 furlongs, and for a horse with bags of speed, a drop back to the minimum trip looked a shrewd move. After that lacklustre performance at York, Quiet Reflection went off at odds of 8/1 9.00 +800 8.00 8.00 -0.13 for a Listed contest at Ayr. Absolutely bolted up again, winning by 4 lengths, and although this is a Group 3 in name, it doesn’t really look that competitive, with just one other runner rated in the 100’s.
That runner is Field Of Vision who was hammered 4 lengths by the selection last time out at Ayr. Went from the front that day and Ayr’s course is more conducive to front runners than Newmarket, so no real reason to see why the form should be turned round.
Quiet Reflection will handle the ground, is rated 109 and is the class act in the race. At odds of 83/100 1.83 -120 0.83 -1.20 0.83 , she looks a good bet.
5.40 Wolverhampton – Meandmyshadow
Meandmyshadow has a good win and place record for an experienced mare, and she absolutely hacked up from the front last time out. From stall 1 and under one of the best front running jockeys in the country in Robert Winston, she has a good chance to repeat the feat.
With 83 starts under her belt, it is surprising that the daughter of Tobougg has only had 2 all-weather starts. There is no reason why she should not handle Wolverhampton’s course and with plenty of stamina over 6 furlongs, it is likely that Alan Brown’s mare will be ridden aggressively.
Royal Connoisseur is the market leader, but she is a little bit quirky (regularly has to be taken down to post early) and has to be delivered late in the day. Will rely on luck in running, but has ability and has to be respected.
Tips Summary (9th October)
1.35 Newmarket – Quiet Reflection – 83/100 1.83 -120 0.83 -1.20 0.83 PaddyPower