2.10 Hamilton – London Protocol
It is another day, another Karl Burke second time out runner. London Protocol’s debut run at Redcar was eye catching, and with plenty of anticipated improvement, he looks a fair bet at +200
Starting at a relatively solid 8.0 for debut run, the son of Muthathir was clueless early in the 6f contest at Redcar, getting badly outpaced after a couple of furlongs. A few reminders and the penny dropping towards the end of the race saw the colt finish with a flourish past most of the field, filling a very respectable third place in an okay looking maiden.
Karl Burke second time out 2 year olds have probably the best record in the business. They are 53/261 (20.31%) for £131.45 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.66 (that is, they win nearly two thirds more often than they should based on odds). Island Flame has the best bare form in the field, however she has had two starts and is by Kodiac, whose offspring are usually early and are typically better over 5 furlongs. More exposed than the Burke horse and potentially lacks the scope at 6 furlongs, but should show good speed and sets a fair marker.
7.50 Gowran Park – Sr Cartage
A rare foray into Irish territory for the second tip, and we go with an unexposed performer in the form of Sr Cartage who looks overpriced at +350
By Sea The Stars, the 4 year old filly made an encouraging reappearance at Gowran Park, scoring by a nose in heavy ground when going off +100 favourite. Showed a good attitude that day on seasonal bow, and should be plenty of improvement to come. The ground that day was heavy and she faces very different conditions with forecast good to firm conditions, and that is probably why the price is so generous.
Jim Bolger’s horses having their second start back within 4 weeks after being off for 60+ days last time out are 43/272 (15.81%) for £85.41 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.24. The field she is going up against are solid, if unspectacular and with the sire Sea The Stars progeny tending to improve with age, she could well be up to improving further.
Tips Summary (27th May)
2.10 Hamilton – London Protocol – +200 – Bet365
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