Let’s all go for a Secret Journey at Lingfield

2015-04-30

3.35 Lingfield – Secret Journey

10 runner fields can be quite nice for each way purposes. Why? Because 8 runners and 3 places is optimal from a value perspective, and 10 runners gives a nice cushion against the potential for non-runners in the race.

Secret Journey is available at 6/1 7.00 +600 6.00 6.00 -0.17 and that looks a reasonable price for a horse who could be on an upward curve. Admittedly the race contains a number of unexposed runners, but there are a few factors which suggest that Hughie Morrison’s Sakhee’s Secret gelding could make a fair bet to make the frame.

The 3 year old made a very promising return to action after two moderate efforts last year, wearing down the odds on favourite in a 7f maiden at Kempton, and looking like he had plenty of improvement in the tank. Was ridden by Martin Harley that day and jockey is replaced with 7lb claimer Charlie Bennett, who has shown his aptitude for riding, with a number of well-judged performances. Hughie Morrison is no mug when using 7lb claimer, his record speaks for itself; 35/177 (19.77%) for £120 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.72.

Has stall 10 which isn’t as negative as perceived, the only problem is if the horse is unable to sit handy or get cover, as he was inclined to race with the choke out last time out. With that said, it was the geldings first run for a long time, so the freshness may have been taken away. There is plenty of competition, with a Gosden favourite and a couple of once raced winners, but 6/1 7.00 +600 6.00 6.00 -0.17 looks fair.

Tips Summary (30th April)

3.35 Lingfield – Secret Journey EW – 6/1 7.00 +600 6.00 6.00 -0.17 – Bet365, Boylesports