Dandy Nicholls 3 year old Kyrenia Castle is on a roll, having won his last two starts. Off for just 4 days, he aimed to make it a hat trick, and looks overpriced at odds of 9/25.50+4504.504.50-0.22. Nicholls does very well in Class 6 claimers, and although his runner isn’t that attractively weighted, he cannot be discounted as he is in such hot form.
Nicholls is 92/340 (27.06%) in Class 6 claimers, producing a £91.36 LSP, for an A/E of 1.34. The Yorkshire handler also has Poole Harbour in the contest, but that runner looks the stable second string for both the trainer and owners. Kyrenia Castle has won two claimers by making it, and is likely to try the same tactics again.
The favourite is Ruth Carr’s Victoire De Lyphar, who has been competing in much higher grade contests. Is on a 21 run losing streak, but has gone close twice in recent starts and has generally been running consistently.
Kyrenia Castle should really be more of a 4.0 shot than a 5.50 poke, and therefore he is the value call.
2.20 Salisbury – Vibrant Chords
Vibrant Chords ran a race full of promise on his first start, only denied a win on debut by the narrowest of margins. With Henry Candy’s 2 year olds tending to improve significantly from first start to second, he should be very hard to beat. The fact that Taneen is so strongly fancied (is entered for group races later in the year so is clearly well thought of), ensures that our selection is available at generous odds of 5/23.50+2502.502.50-0.40.
Henry Candy’s runner was noticed travelling very strongly on his debut run and was sent to the front 2 furlongs from home. He kept on well, but was green in front and was headed in the final strides. Is effectively a winner in a maiden, and that race looked to be okay, so the run has to go down as a smart one. Candy’s second time out 2 year olds are very profitable; 28/158 (17.72%) for £65.23 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.50.
Roger Varian’s Taneen has been very well backed and is an odds on favourite. Has clearly been burning the gallops up at home and big race entries suggest he could be a seriously talented runner. Greenness on debut can be a big factor though and he faces a talented rival who has racecourse experience. At the odds Vibrant Chords should definitely be in the three and has a very good chance of success, so he makes a decent each way bet.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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