The 10f 3 year old only handicap at Doncaster provides the first selection of the day in King Bolete. This race may only have 6 runners, but it looks very interesting with some potentially classy horses lining up.
King Bolete appeals as one to improve significantly in his 3 year old season. The son of Cape Cross ran just modestly on debut last term, but was very well backed to step up on that run second time out. Eventually got up to score over 8f at Nottingham on testing ground, suggesting in the process that there would be more to come. That run was impressive as the horse is by Cape Cross, whose progeny typically perform much better on fast ground. Furthermore, the horse is stepped up in trip and pedigree points towards the extra yardage being in the horse’s favour.
The horse’s 198 day break should be of no concern to punters, as Luca Cumani’s 3 year old handicappers can do very well off a break. When they have been off for 120+ days, his handicappers are 25/113 (22.12%) for £55.50 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.63. Promising claimer Kevin Stott has been booked, and he takes off a valuable 3lbs.
Of course there is plenty of competition with several last time out winners and unexposed types, but the profile of the Cumani horse, coupled with the step up in trip and better ground, suggest that 7/24.50+3503.503.50-0.29 could be a decent price.
4.45 Sandown – Jack Hobbs
Jack Hobbs is a once raced, once victorious, son of Halling. John Gosden’s performer looks to have a tonne of improvement in him and could be much better than a mark of 85.
Fell out of the stalls, raced wide and looked awkward on debut, but still won going away. Was clearly fancied to be a decent horse as went off 2.0 for his first racecourse spin. Contest has worked out fine and this big son of Halling should really have appreciated the time off to fill into his frame. A further plus is the step up in trip from 8.5f to 10f on a stiff track like Sandown. 3 year old offspring of Halling racing over 10f+ in January-April are 23/117 (19.66%) for £21.97 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.50.
There are a number of other last time out winners, but they appear to lack the scope of the Gosden runner.
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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