4.45 Brighton – Venus Marina
Venus Marina returns from her winter break, and could be solid value at +400 to provide Chris Wall with a winner. The Tiger Hill filly was largely disappointing last term, but did show one bit of form at Yarmouth which gave some hope that she could progress as she aged.
Penultimate run last year was over 7f at Yarmouth. She was well backed and hacked through an admittedly poor race, before going away to score comfortably. The front two pulled 8 lengths clear, and she went into her next race at Kempton on the all-weather as favourite. Was disappointing that day, but interestingly, Chris Wall beaten favourites last time out have a fantastic record; 85/359 (23.68%) for £142.75 LSP, producing an A/E of 1.42.
Promising apprentice Ashley Morgan rides, and Wall does brilliantly when using a claimer on his older horses (4 year old +), 40/219 (18.26%) for £84.36 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.60. Horse is drawn in stall 2 and is likely to sit midfield. This is a really weak contest and the return to turf should suit.
7.45 Chelmsford – Adele
Mark Johnston sends Adele to Chelmsford for her seasonal reappearance, and she could offer some value at +700 .
The daughter of Intikhab made a very promising debut last season, but then regressed with racing. However, powerful yard have kept hold of her, and good chance she can make up into a better 3 year old. If reproducing anything like the form of her debut run, she would be right in the mix, and at the price, we can take the chance that she does.
Mark Johnston 3 year olds, off for 8+ weeks, returning to maiden company and with a maximum of 3 starts, have a very good record – 87/341 (25.51%) for a £95.58 LSP, giving an A/E of 1.24.
Captain Navarre is the market leader and has some very solid form, but disappointed last time out and not sure how much improvement will be forthcoming now he is switched to the all-weather surface.
8.45 Chelmsford – Nearly Caught
Nearly Caught is 1/1 on the all-weather and has to be in with a good chance of scoring on seasonal reappearance at Chelmsford in the 14f class 2 event.
Ran very well in the Cesarewitch at Newmarket last time out in October, just wilting late in the day, finishing a valiant 6th of 33. Drop in trip should not be a problem and Hughie Morrison runners off for 90+ days, returning in March-May and 14/1 or shorter do very well; 50/215 (23.26%) for £99.69 LSP, producing an A/E of 1.43
Tips Summary (6th May)
4.45 Brighton – Venus Marina Win – +400 – PaddyPower
7.45 Chelmsford – Adele Win – +700 – Bet365
8.45 Chelmsford – Nearly Caught Win – +250 – Ladbrokes
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