Grand Beauty did not justify favouritism last time out on seasonal debut, but the daughter of Kheleyf still recorded an RPR that surpasses the level of form reached by the rest of the field, and with that run under her belt, she should be difficult to beat.
A strongly fancied favourite when making her return from an absence 8 weeks ago over course and distance, she looked the most likely winner for the majority of the run before getting tired late. That should have put her spot on, and under similar tactics, she should be hard to catch.
The second favourite is the 10 time raced, 67 rated Exentricity from the Mick Channon yard. She is moderate, obviously hasn’t won yet and her lofty market position signals the lack of depth in the race.
Grand Beauty should be far too strong for these and should be odds on.
3.45 Goodwood – Kodi Bear
Clive Cox has described his runner Kodi Bear as potentially the best horse he has ever trained, and that is quite some claim coming from the Lambourn trainer given that he has handled some very classy animals. Despite being an odds on favourite to take the Group 2 Celebration Mile at Goodwood on Saturday, he still looks to be good value, as the competition looks relatively thin on the ground.
Kodi Bear’s performance last time was excellent, particularly as the race didn’t go exactly to plan. French jockey Gerald Mosse came over to Salisbury to ride the 3 year old Kodiac colt, and he decided to race away from all of his rivals for the majority of that 1 mile contest. When he realised the plan of performing a solo wasn’t working, the experienced jockey switched Kodi Bear sharply and brought him the whole way back across the track. Once straightened up, he duly bounded away and demolished his field by just shy of 5 lengths. That was a Group 3, but the way he won marks him down as a Group 1 horse. Is an uncomplicated horse and this course should suit the horse, as he likes to dominate from the front.
If he found his form again, Captain Cat would be the main threat. Roger Charlton’s very classy but quirky 6 year old made giant strides last season, winning two Group 3’s very comfortably. A strong travelling hold up horse, he likes to come fast and late, and clearly has his own ideas about the game, with the head carriage being very high under pressure. Hasn’t reached the same heights this year, but still possesses plenty of ability. With that being said, the small field and potential for the race to turn tactical is unlikely to suit.
Kodi Bear looks a class apart, and assuming he handles the soft ground, he wins. Odds of 73/1001.73-1370.73-1.370.73 looks more than fair.
Tips Summary (29th August)
1.45 Beverley – Grand Beauty – 1/12.00+1001.001.00-1.00PaddyPower
Eric has been a sports journalist for over 20 years and has travelled the world covering top sporting events for a number of publications. He also has a passion for betting and uses his in-depth knowledge of the sports world to pinpoint outstanding odds and value betting opportunities.
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