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3.25 Leicester – Gorham’s Cave
Gorham’s Cave is our first selection on a busy Tuesday of racing. Roger Varian brings his juvenile to Leicester with high hopes. Prominent in the betting when racing over 7 furlongs on soft ground on debut, the son of Rock Of Gibraltar should be far more streetwise this time around. He only really has two conceivable rivals, and whilst they have both run to a solid level of form, they have each had several chances and there are no secrets – they are exposed animals.
It is well known that Roger Varian 2-year olds learn a great deal from their first racecourse appearance. Silvestre De Sousa was booked so the stable clearly meant business. He pulled too hard for his own good and paid the price late in the day. The horse has been given a two and a half month break and could go on to better things in future. Gorham’s Cave has been installed as a 2/1 3.00 +200 2.00 2.00 -0.50 second favourite with Bet365 and that seems more than fair.
5.55 Newcastle – Sir Runs A Lot
Sir Runs A Lot is hopefully going to run quickly for both connections of the horse and for SBO Racing followers. David Barron’s last time out winner has been installed as a marginal favourite for a competitive handicap, and the 5 year old Sir Percy gelding can double up over the same course and distance that he scored at 32 days ago. One of two bookmakers are still offering odds of 5/1 6.00 +500 5.00 5.00 -0.20 which should be snapped up.
Sir Runs A Lot may be 5 years old, but the horse has only had a limited number of runs, visiting the racecourse just 8 times. The horse clearly hasn’t been too straightforward and may have suffered injuries, but things took a turn last time out over today’s course and distance when connections applied the first time blinkers. The horse sat handy and battled on well when challenged at the end of the race, getting off the mark. Sir Runs A Lot has only gone up 2lbs in the weights and has a fantastic chance on the ratings.
David Barron does very well in 3 year old+ handicaps on the all-weather between August and February; 77/444 (17%) for £137 LSP, with the horses scoring 45% more frequently than they are entitled to.
15:25 Leicester – Gorham’s Cave to win
Tuesday 10th October
Odds: 2/1 3.00 +200 2.00 2.00 -0.50
17:55 Newcastle – Sir Runs A Lot to win
Tuesday 10th October
Odds: 5/1 6.00 +500 5.00 5.00 -0.20
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